Match Analysis: Cagliari vs Sassuolo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-30
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Game Overview
Cagliari hosts Sassuolo in a Serie A clash with both teams showing mixed recent form. Cagliari has won the previous 3 head-to-head encounters but struggles defensively, failing to keep clean sheets in their last 6 matches. Sassuolo have shown inconsistency but have historically drawn many matches between these sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cagliari won 3 of their last 5 matches but have conceded in every game, scoring 7 goals in that span. Sassuolo have scored fewer (4 goals in 5) and have not scored in their last 2 matches, struggling especially away from home.
- Out of 20 recent meetings, Cagliari leads with 6 wins, Sassuolo 4, and 10 draws. Cagliari has a psychological edge, winning the last 3 encounters.
- No significant injury updates impacting starting lineups from available data; key players expected to be available.
- Match played at Cagliari's home ground, which tends to boost their performance. No adverse weather or other disruption factors reported.
- Both teams are pushing to improve their league standing, but Cagliari's home form and recent direct success against Sassuolo adds extra motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cagliari: 161, Sassuolo: 185, Draw: 212 | Cagliari | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Cagliari 0: -120, Sassuolo 0: 100 | Cagliari -0 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cagliari 44% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Cagliari at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cagliari to win the match with an expectation of a moderately low-scoring game.
Predicted Score: 2-1