Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Valencia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio El Sadar
Game Overview
CA Osasuna hosts Valencia in a La Liga encounter with Osasuna favored to leverage home advantage and Valencia showing defensive vulnerabilities on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Osasuna have shown stronger recent form and more home confidence, while Valencia struggled away last season with only two road wins and a weakened defense.
- Historically balanced, but recent simulations show Osasuna with a 40.5% win probability versus Valencia's 31.2%, with draws at 28.3%.
- No critical absences reported for Osasuna; Valencia's defensive frailties partly due to injuries and unsettled lineup.
- Osasuna's new signing VΓctor MuΓ±oz could provide increased pace on the left flank; Valencia's defensive issues expected to persist away.
- Osasuna expected to approach aggressively to capitalize on home advantage; Valencia likely to be cautious with limited away confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 139 | Osasuna | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | -0.25 102 | Osasuna -0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2 -125 | Over 2 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | CA Osasuna 29% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: CA Osasuna at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Osasuna moneyline win
Predicted Score: 2-1