Match Analysis: Bristol City vs Oxford United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ashton Gate Stadium
Game Overview
Bristol City, currently 3rd in the Championship, host Oxford United, who sit 22nd, at Ashton Gate. Bristol City have solid recent form and a strong head-to-head record against Oxford United, who have struggled recently. The match is expected to favor the home side.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bristol City have won 3 of their last 5 games and show strong scoring ability at home. Oxford United's last 5 games include only 1 win and 2 draws with weaker goal scoring and higher goals conceded.
- Bristol City lead the H2H series with 3 wins out of the last 5 meetings, while Oxford has only 1 win and 1 draw. Past encounters typically feature over 2.5 goals.
- No specific injury data provided but no major absences reported for either side that would significantly impact starting lineups.
- Match played at Bristol City's home ground, Ashton Gate, providing home advantage. No adverse weather or external disruptions reported.
- Bristol City motivated to maintain top Championship position; Oxford United under pressure near the relegation zone to gain points.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -172, away: 430, draw: 280 | Bristol City | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Bristol City -0.75: -128, Oxford United +75: 108 | Bristol City -0.75 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | over 2.5: -108, under 2.5: -112 | Over 2.5 Goals | β β β ββ 69% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bristol City 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bristol City to win on the moneyline, covering -0.75 spread with a moderately high scoring match expected over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1