Match Analysis: Bristol City vs Ipswich Town – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-30
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Bristol City Home Stadium
Game Overview
Bristol City faces Ipswich Town in an EFL Championship fixture with both teams showing mixed recent form and competitive historical matchups.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bristol City showed strong recent form with a 4-0 win in their last home meeting, while Ipswich Town has struggled to win away games this season. Top scorers for Bristol include Anis Mehmeti (4 goals) and Scott Twine (3), whereas Ipswich relies on Jaden Philogene-Bidace (4 goals).
- Historically balanced with Ipswich holding a slight edge (8 wins to Bristolβs 6 in the last 20 matches). Recent matches include a 1-1 draw and an Ipswich away win 1-0. Average goals per game are close to 3.6 total between them, indicating moderately open games.
- No major injury news specified, implying relatively full squads for both teams.
- No significant external factors like weather or travel issues reported.
- Ipswich is highly motivated to improve their poor away form, while Bristol aims to assert home dominance following prior strong performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bristol City: +178, Ipswich Town: +137, Draw: +230 | Ipswich Town | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | Bristol City: +110, Ipswich Town: -130 | Ipswich Town 0 spread | β β β ββ 63% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ipswich Town 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A tight match is expected with Bristol City favored on their home ground but Ipswich likely to challenge strongly, suggesting value on Ipswich or draw outcomes and moderate goal scoring.
Predicted Score: 1-1