Match Analysis: Brighton and Hove Albion vs Newcastle United – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-04
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: The American Express Community Stadium
Game Overview
Brighton & Hove Albion is set to host Newcastle United in a crucial Premier League matchup. Currently, Brighton sits in 9th place with 51 points, while Newcastle United is positioned in 3rd place with 62 points. Brighton has struggled recently, winning just one of their last seven matches, whereas Newcastle United has maintained a strong 50% win rate in their last six away games in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brighton has not lost in seven of their last eight home matches across all competitions but faces a tough challenge against Newcastle United. Despite their home form, Brighton has only managed one win in the last seven games in all competitions. Newcastle United's consistent performance away from home makes them a formidable opponent.
- Brighton and Newcastle United have drawn three of their last six encounters, indicating a close competitive balance between the two teams. However, Newcastle United's current league position suggests they have an edge.
- No specific information on injuries is available for this match.
- The league standings and the desire for Newcastle to maintain their position could influence their motivation and performance.
- Newcastle United is highly motivated to secure points to maintain their position in the league. Brighton aims to improve their standings and continue their unbeaten home run.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brighton 180, Newcastle United 127, Draw 270 | Newcastle United | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Brighton +50 -164, Newcastle United -0.5 123 | Newcastle United -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 130, Under 3.5 -174 | Under 3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Newcastle United 36% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 -6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent form and league standings, Newcastle United is favored to win, despite Brighton's strong home performance.
Predicted Score: Newcastle United 2, Brighton & Hove Albion 1