Match Analysis: Brest vs Montpellier – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 4, 2025
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé
Game Overview
Brest (9th, 44 points) hosts 18th-place Montpellier (16 points) in a Ligue 1 clash. Brest demonstrates strong home form (8 wins in 15 matches), while Montpellier has lost 23 of 31 league games and shows 6 consecutive away defeats.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brest scored 2+ goals in 6 of their last 10 home matches. Montpellier has -49 goal difference and struggles defensively
- Brest won only 3 of their last 16 encounters with Montpellier
- No specific injury data available from provided sources
- Montpellier faces intense relegation pressure, while Brest aims to finish in top half
- Brest seeks to capitalize on home advantage; Montpellier desperately needs points
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brest -265 | Draw 440 | Montpellier 625 | Brest win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Brest -1.5 (102) | Montpellier +1.5 (-122) | Brest -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 3 (-110) | Under 3 (-110) | Over 3 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Brest -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 24% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Brest to win with over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1 Brest