Match Analysis: Brest vs Lyon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Game Overview
Lyon visit Brest in a tightly contested Ligue 1 fixture with both sides seeking vital points. Brest struggle recently with no wins in four and scoring difficulties, while Lyon have strong away form but have shown vulnerability due to disciplinary issues.
Key Factors to Consider
- Lyon are in better form overall and away from home, with 19 points in the league and two recent away wins. Brest are winless in their last four matches, scoring only once during this period and conceding eight goals.
- Lyon have a superior head-to-head record, winning 7 out of the last 18 matches against Brest and 2 of 4 recent away matches at Brest. Brest have only won 3 times overall against Lyon in the same timeframe.
- No major injury news significantly impacting key players has been reported for either side, but Lyon have faced some disciplinary suspensions recently affecting their performance.
- Lyon’s motivation to keep pace with top teams in a tight Ligue 1 table is higher, while Brest’s home advantage is neutralized by poor recent form. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal.
- Lyon are highly motivated to secure a win after several dropped points due to red cards and late goals conceded, aiming to consolidate their position near the top. Brest need points to avoid slipping further but their confidence is low.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brest: +205, Lyon: +124, Draw: +240 | Lyon | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Brest +25: -115, Lyon -0.25: -105 | Lyon -0.25 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: +100, Under 2.75: -120 | Under 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lyon 21% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Lyon at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lyon to win
Predicted Score: 1-2