Match Analysis: Brest vs Lille – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest, France
Game Overview
Ligue 1 clash between Brest (9th, 47 points) and Lille (5th, 57 points). Brest is undefeated in 5 of their last 6 home games. Lille, chasing a Champions League spot, is unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 against Brest but has struggled away, winning just 1 of their last 6 at Brest. Recent form: 50% win rate for Brest in their last 6 matches, but Lille lost 50% of last 6 away games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brest has shown resilience at home (undefeated in 5 of last 6), while Lille's away form is inconsistent. Lille ranks higher but struggles on the road. Brest's recent win rate (last 6): 50%. Lille's recent away loss rate: 50%.
- Lille is unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 against Brest in Ligue 1. However, Lille has only won 1 of their last 6 away at Brest. Brest has lost 3 of their last 6 encounters vs Lille.
- No major injury concerns reported from reliable sources as of now.
- No external weather or venue issues reported. Stade Francis-Le Ble expected to be in good condition.
- Lille has high motivation to secure a Champions League spot. Brest has little left to play for in terms of league objectives.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brest: 340, Lille: -130, Draw: 295 | Lille | High |
Spread | Brest: 75 -118, Lille: -0.75 -102 | Lille -0.75 | Medium-High |
Over/under | Over: 2.75 100, Under: 2.75 -120 | Over 2.75 | Medium |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Lille -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lille is predicted to edge out Brest, possibly 1-2 or 0-2, given their higher motivation and better squad quality, despite Brest's strong home form and Lille's poor away form recently.
Predicted Score: Brest 1-2 Lille