Match Analysis: Brentford vs Liverpool – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Brentford Community Stadium
Game Overview
Liverpool visits Brentford in an EPL match where Liverpool holds a strong advantage based on recent form, historical matchups, and squad strength. Liverpool is favored but Brentford's home record provides potential for competitive play.
Key Factors to Consider
- Liverpool is 5-0-3 in the season with strong offensive output and defensive solidity, while Brentford is 3-1-4 overall, with mixed form (1-3 in last 5 games) and a balanced but less consistent performance.
- Liverpool has dominated recent encounters, winning the past five EPL meetings against Brentford, with large margins including 4-1 and 3-0, indicating a clear historical edge.
- Aaron Hickey may return for Brentford, boosting their defense. Liverpool appears to have a full-strength squad with key players active like Salah, Gakpo, and Thiago.
- Match is at Brentford home ground, which helps Brentford given their decent home form (2-1-1), but Liverpool's experience and squad depth mitigate home advantage.
- Liverpool chases points to maintain a top-table position and European qualification dream; Brentford looks to consolidate mid-table standing and avoid relegation risk.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Brentford: +330, Liverpool: -147, Draw: +310 | Liverpool | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | Brentford +50: +112, Liverpool -0.5: -150 | Liverpool -0.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: +132, Under 3.5: -176 | Over 3.5 Goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Liverpool -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.5 44% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Liverpool to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, and the match to go over 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Brentford 1 – 3 Liverpool