Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Sao Paulo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-17
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques
Game Overview
Bragantino-SP hosts Sao Paulo in a competitive Brazil Campeonato fixture where both teams have shown mixed recent form. Bragantino currently ranks higher and has a slight home advantage, while Sao Paulo struggles for consistency this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bragantino holds 3rd place with solid recent performances including a 1-0 home win against Sao Paulo. Sao Paulo is struggling near the 14th position with less consistent results.
- Historically, in last 30 matches Bragantino has 10 wins, Sao Paulo 14 wins, with 6 draws. However, recent encounters favor Bragantino with a 1-0 win and several draws, showing a tight contest.
- No critical injury updates reported for either team affecting starting lineups significantly.
- Match played at Bragantino's home ground with modest capacity, possibly giving home advantage. No adverse weather or external disruptions noted.
- Bragantino motivated to maintain top league position and capitalize on home advantage, whereas Sao Paulo aims to improve poor league standing and avoid relegation threats.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bragantino 1.30, Sao Paulo 2.42, Draw 2.10 | Bragantino | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Bragantino -0.25 (-107), Sao Paulo +25 (-113) | Bragantino -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2 goals (-121), Under 2 goals (+101) | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bragantino-SP 38% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 21% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bragantino to win in a low-scoring tight match.
Predicted Score: 1-0