Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Flamengo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-24
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista, Brazil
Game Overview
This match features 3rd-ranked Red Bull Bragantino hosting 1st-ranked Flamengo in a high-stakes Campeonato Brasileiro Série A clash, with Flamengo slight favourites but Bragantino's strong recent form and home advantage making this encounter highly competitive.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bragantino currently sits 3rd in the league with a strong recent run including 4 wins in their last 5 matches, solid defensive form having conceded only one goal in their last three. Flamengo holds 1st place, showing high quality and consistency overall but with odds indicating a tight matchup.
- Recent H2H matches between these two have been competitive; Flamengo slightly edges previous encounters but Bragantino is no pushover especially at home.
- No critical injury information available from search data, suggesting key players from both sides are likely fit.
- Bragantino enjoys home advantage at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques; no major external disruptions reported. The match timing and venue favour the home side slightly.
- Flamengo as league leaders are motivated to maintain their top spot, while Bragantino, in 3rd with strong recent form, are motivated to close the gap and assert themselves as title contenders.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Bragantino-SP: 2.6, Flamengo: 1.1, Draw: 2.35 | Flamengo | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Bragantino-SP +25: 1.02, Flamengo -0.25: 1.22 | Flamengo -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: 1.02, Under 2.25: 1.22 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Flamengo 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 0% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Flamengo's strong overall team quality and league position but Bragantino's excellent home form and recent defensive solidity, the best EV bet is Flamengo to win with a slim margin (spread -0.25). The game is expected to be competitive but Flamengo's edge should prevail.
Predicted Score: 1-2