Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Palmeiras - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-17
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
This Brazil Campeonato matchup features Botafogo hosting Palmeiras in a tightly contested fixture with both teams in strong form and close league positions. Botafogo currently ranks 5th while Palmeiras is 3rd, making this a significant clash in the Serie A standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Botafogo has scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches with key players like Alex Telles creating several big chances and Santiago Rodriguez delivering consistent shots on target. Palmeiras has scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches but ranks 1st away from home this season, showing strong away resilience.
- Historically, Palmeiras leads with 14 wins to Botafogo's 9 over 30+ meetings, including a recent 1-0 extra-time win over Botafogo in the Club World Cup. Last season encounters and recent meetings show a slight edge to Palmeiras, though Botafogo has shown solid home form against top teams.
- No critical injury information is currently available that significantly impacts starting lineups for either side, with predicted lineups expected to be mostly full strength.
- The match is played at Botafogo’s home stadium, Estádio Nilton Santos, providing them home advantage. Motivation is high for both teams due to league standings and upcoming fixtures in the Brazilian Serie A.
- Both teams are highly motivated with Palmeiras pushing to consolidate a top position and Botafogo aiming to close the points gap at home. The recent narrow loss to Palmeiras may add extra incentive for Botafogo to respond positively.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Botafogo: 1.7, Palmeiras: 1.65, Draw: 1.95 | Palmeiras | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Spread | Botafogo: -108, Palmeiras: -112 | Palmeiras 0 to win (pick 'Palmeiras -0' for narrow victory or draw no bet) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Palmeiras 38% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Palmeiras to win
Predicted Score: Palmeiras 1 - 0 Botafogo
This Pick Releases in 104 Minutes!
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