Match Analysis: Borussia Monchengladbach vs Werder Bremen – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadion im Borussia-Park
Game Overview
Borussia Monchengladbach hosts Werder Bremen in a Bundesliga clash where both sides show offensive potential but defensive vulnerabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monchengladbach have demonstrated tactical discipline with a solid midfield controlling pace, though their recent form has been inconsistent. Werder Bremen shows attacking flair but defensively shaky performances, evidenced by a heavy loss to Frankfurt and a draw versus Leverkusen.
- In the last 14 meetings, Monchengladbach leads with 6 wins to Bremen's 2, and 6 draws, suggesting a historical advantage for the home side.
- No major injuries reported for either team affecting key attackers or defenders as per latest reports.
- Match played at home for Monchengladbach with strong crowd support; no adverse weather or travel effects noted.
- Monchengladbach motivated to capitalize on home advantage to rebound after inconsistent starts; Bremen seeks to stabilize defense while leveraging attacking potentials to gain points early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -103, away: 235, draw: 300 | Borussia Monchengladbach | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -108, away: -112 | Borussia Monchengladbach -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | over: -102, under: -118 | Over 3.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Borussia Monchengladbach 14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Borussia Monchengladbach at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Borussia Monchengladbach to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to go over 3.25 total goals.
Predicted Score: 3-2