Match Analysis: Borussia Monchengladbach vs 1. FC Köln – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Borussia-Park
Game Overview
Borussia Monchengladbach hosts 1. FC Köln in a Bundesliga match. Both teams are mid-table contenders, with Monchengladbach slight home favorites, but both struggling for consistency. This fixture is traditionally high-scoring, with Monchengladbach historically having the upper hand in head-to-head encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monchengladbach (1-5-3) have struggled for wins, but their 3-2 ATS (against the spread) record and 3-1 ATS in road games suggests they are often competitive regardless of venue. Köln (4-3-2) have a better win-loss record but have not dominated, with most games closely contested[1]. Neither team is in peak form, but Köln’s slightly superior results merit consideration.
- Monchengladbach lead 26-13-9 in the last 48 meetings, with a goal difference of 89-62. Their recent encounters have featured over 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 9 matches, pointing to a high-scoring trend[7][8].
- No major injuries reported for either side; squads are expected to be near full strength.
- Home advantage for Monchengladbach and a long-standing rivalry could spur intensity. No major weather or scheduling disruptions expected.
- With both teams needing points to climb the table, this is a high-stakes local derby, likely ensuring strong effort from both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 122, draw: 255, away: 212 | Borussia Monchengladbach | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Spread | home: -0.25 -108, away: +25 -112 | 1. FC Köln +0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | over: 2.75 -122, under: 2.75 102 | Over 2.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Borussia Monchengladbach 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a competitive, high-scoring derby with marginal edge to the home side, but neither team is dominant enough to trust outright; backing the over and a narrow margin either way is the value play.
Predicted Score: 2-2