Match Analysis: Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: Signal Iduna Park
Game Overview
Borussia Dortmund hosts Union Berlin in a Bundesliga match featuring two strong teams, with Dortmund showing historical dominance at home against Union Berlin and both sides displaying good scoring potential.
Key Factors to Consider
- Borussia Dortmund has been strong at home, winning all six previous Bundesliga home encounters against Union Berlin with mostly clear margins, while Union Berlin remains competitive but finds it tough at Signal Iduna Park.
- Dortmund won all six home games versus Union Berlin, five by two or more goals, including a 6-0 thrashing in the previous season, indicating strong historical dominance.
- No significant injuries reported that would critically affect either side's starting lineup.
- Playing at Dortmund's home stadium, Signal Iduna Park, gives the home side a notable advantage with a strong crowd presence.
- Dortmund appears motivated to maintain their perfect home record versus Union Berlin and solidify their title contention early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund: -255, Union Berlin: 600, Draw: 420 | Borussia Dortmund to win | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Borussia Dortmund -1.25: -118, Union Berlin +1.25: -102 | Borussia Dortmund -1.25 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 | Over 3 goals | β β β β β 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Borussia Dortmund -10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Borussia Dortmund to win, covering -1.25 spread, with over 3 goals expected in total.
Predicted Score: 3-1 Borussia Dortmund