Match Analysis: Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 12:30 PM UTC
- Location: Ewood Park
Game Overview
Blackburn Rovers host Derby County in this Championship fixture, with both teams in strong recent form and a history favoring Blackburn. Derby has an excellent away record but faces a resilient and motivated Blackburn side at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Blackburn Rovers have won 3 of their last 5 matches, showing good defensive solidity and an improving attack. Derby County is in even better form with 4 wins in their last 5, but tend to be less sharp on the road.
- In their H2H history, Blackburn leads with 13 wins, 5 draws, and Derby only 5 wins out of 23 encounters, indicating a strong historical advantage for Blackburn.
- There are no major injury concerns reported for either side, allowing both to field near full-strength squads.
- The match is played at Blackburn's home stadium which typically favors the home team statistically and psychologically in close contests.
- Blackburn needs points to climb the league table and secure better positioning, while Derby aims to maintain top form and continue their winning streak, making this a tightly contested and high-stakes game.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -105 | Blackburn Rovers Win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | -102 | Blackburn Rovers -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | 108 | Over 2.25 Goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Blackburn Rovers 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Blackburn Rovers Moneyline Win
Predicted Score: 2-1