Match Analysis: Birmingham City vs Hull City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Game Overview
Championship round 10 clash between Birmingham City and Hull City, both with mixed recent form and a historically competitive rivalry.
Key Factors to Consider
- Birmingham City has shown mixed results, with some recent struggles evidenced by losses against Hull in previous meetings; Hull City has slight momentum with better recent head-to-head results and key players in form like Oliver McBurnie (6 goals).
- In the last 22 meetings, Hull City leads with 10 wins to Birmingham's 5, with 7 draws. Recently, Hull won 2-0 away in Jan 2024 and Birmingham's home wins are infrequent. The teams have drawn several matches, indicating competitive balance.
- No major injury reports published before the match; squads appear largely available, indicating strongest lineups likely for both sides.
- Match at Birmingham's home ground gives a slight home advantage. Weather or other disruptions not noted, so neutrality expected.
- Both teams are mid-table and will look to climb standings for playoff contention, elevating focus and urgency. Birmingham must capitalize on home advantage to break recent losing streaks against Hull.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -144, away: 365, draw: 260 | Birmingham City | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Birmingham City -0.75: -105, Hull City +75: -115 | Birmingham City -0.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over 2.5: -102, under 2.5: -118 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Birmingham City 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Birmingham City to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread and the match to finish under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1