Match Analysis: Birmingham City vs Hull City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Game Overview
Championship round 10 clash between Birmingham City and Hull City, both with mixed recent form and a historically competitive rivalry.
Key Factors to Consider
- Birmingham City has shown mixed results, with some recent struggles evidenced by losses against Hull in previous meetings; Hull City has slight momentum with better recent head-to-head results and key players in form like Oliver McBurnie (6 goals).
- In the last 22 meetings, Hull City leads with 10 wins to Birmingham's 5, with 7 draws. Recently, Hull won 2-0 away in Jan 2024 and Birmingham's home wins are infrequent. The teams have drawn several matches, indicating competitive balance.
- No major injury reports published before the match; squads appear largely available, indicating strongest lineups likely for both sides.
- Match at Birmingham's home ground gives a slight home advantage. Weather or other disruptions not noted, so neutrality expected.
- Both teams are mid-table and will look to climb standings for playoff contention, elevating focus and urgency. Birmingham must capitalize on home advantage to break recent losing streaks against Hull.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -144, away: 365, draw: 260 | Birmingham City | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Birmingham City -0.75: -105, Hull City +75: -115 | Birmingham City -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over 2.5: -102, under 2.5: -118 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Birmingham City 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Birmingham City to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread and the match to finish under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1