Match Analysis: Benfica vs Gil Vicente – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-26
- Time: 7:15 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Game Overview
Benfica, currently 2nd in Liga Portugal, hosts Gil Vicente, a mid-table team with recent strong away performances. Benfica is in excellent form at home and boasts a historic dominance over Gil Vicente.
Key Factors to Consider
- Benfica has a strong recent form with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals per game. Gil Vicente showed solid away form with 2 wins in last 3 away games but averages only 1 goal per game.
- Benfica has won 19 of the last 24 meetings and has outscored Gil Vicente 59 to 16 in these games. Recent meetings show dominant wins for Benfica, including a 5-1 home victory last year.
- Benfica has 3 key injuries: Alexander Bah, Bruma, and Manu Silva. Gil Vicente has no unavailable players.
- Match played at Benfica's home ground, where they have a strong winning history and higher average goal margin.
- Benfica aims to solidify their position for UEFA Champions League qualification, providing strong motivation. Gil Vicente looks to maintain good form but motivation is lower by comparison.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -400, away: +1000, draw: +450 | Home Win | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | home_-1.75: -102, away_+1.75: -118 | Home -1.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_2.75: -125, under_2.75: +105 | Over 2.75 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Benfica 725% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 17% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Benfica at 725% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Benfica to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: 3-1