Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs FC Utrecht – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 3:45 PM UTC
- Location: AFAS Stadion
Game Overview
AZ Alkmaar hosts FC Utrecht in a crucial Eredivisie match on October 26, 2025. AZ Alkmaar is in third place with 18 points, while FC Utrecht is eighth with 13 points. Recent performances have been mixed for both teams, making this match pivotal for their campaigns.
Key Factors to Consider
- AZ Alkmaar has a strong home record and recent form, while FC Utrecht struggles on the road.
- No recent head-to-head data provided, but generally, AZ Alkmaar is favored due to their home advantage.
- No specific injury reports are noted that would significantly impact the match odds.
- Weather or crowd factors are not mentioned as relevant.
- Both teams are highly motivated, with AZ Alkmaar seeking to maintain their position and Utrecht aiming to climb the table.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -168 for AZ Alkmaar, +385 for FC Utrecht, +330 for Draw | AZ Alkmaar | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | -1 at 102 for AZ Alkmaar, +1 at -122 for FC Utrecht | AZ Alkmaar -1 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 3 at -102, Under 3 at -118 | Over 3 | β β β β β 71% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AZ Alkmaar -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AZ Alkmaar to win with over 2.5 goals scored in the match.
Predicted Score: 3-1 in favor of AZ Alkmaar