Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Tondela – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal
Game Overview
AVS Futebol SAD hosts Tondela in a Portugal Primeira Liga fixture. AVS Futebol SAD is struggling with a five-match losing streak across all competitions, while Tondela has a more stable recent form with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games. Historically, Tondela has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning the last 3 matches against AVS Futebol SAD. The match promises a competitive battle with Tondela having a psychological edge due to recent head-to-head success.
Key Factors to Consider
- AVS Futebol SAD has lost their last 5 matches, scoring 0.6 goals per match and conceding 3.2 goals per match, showing defensive vulnerabilities. Tondela has scored 1.4 goals per match and conceded 1.0 in their last 5 games, indicating relatively better defensive organization and attack.
- In the recent head-to-head, Tondela leads with 3 wins to AVS' 1 win. Total goals in these fixtures favor Tondela (6 goals to AVS's 2). Tondela has won all last 3 head-to-head matches and holds a 100% Asian Handicap win rate historically against AVS.
- No explicit injury data is available from current search results, suggesting no major reported injuries for either side affecting this match significantly.
- The home venue Estadio do CD das Aves might offer AVS some advantage despite their poor form. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported to be impactful. Motivation could be influenced by AVS's need to break their losing streak versus Tondela's confidence from recent victories.
- AVS Futebol SAD will be highly motivated to end their losing streak at home, possibly increasing their attacking efforts. Tondela aims to maintain their dominance and exploit AVS's form issues to secure three points and improve their league standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 210, away: 134, draw: 215 | Tondela win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | home: -122 (AVS +25), away: 102 (Tondela -0.25) | Tondela -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | over: -112 (Over 2.25 goals), under: -108 (Under 2.25 goals) | Over 2.25 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Tondela 17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 23% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Considering current form, head-to-head dominance, and betting odds, Tondela is favored to win, but AVS Futebol SAD might avoid a heavy defeat given home advantage and motivation to end their losing streak.
Predicted Score: 1-2
