Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Benfica – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal
Game Overview
Benfica enters the match as dominant favorites against AVS Futebol SAD, who have struggled this season with no wins and a negative goal difference. Benfica is undefeated with three wins and one draw, showing strong attacking and defensive form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Benfica is 4th in the Primeira Liga with 10 points from 4 games, undefeated and +5 goal difference, while AVS is 17th with 1 point and -7 goal difference after 5 games, without any wins.
- Recent H2H heavily favors Benfica, including a dominant 6-0 win in their last meeting this season, indicating clear superiority.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side affecting key players, suggesting both teams will mostly field their strongest squads.
- The match is at AVS's home ground, but their poor form at home and Benfica’s strength on the road reduces home advantage impact.
- Benfica is motivated to maintain an unbeaten run and consolidate top league positions, while AVS needs points desperately to avoid relegation pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AVS +1200, Benfica -625, Draw +700 | Benfica | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Spread | AVS +2 -112, Benfica -2 -108 | Benfica -2 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Over/under | Over 3 -110, Under 3 -110 | Over 3 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Benfica -13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Benfica to win on the moneyline, cover the -2 spread, and match total goals over 3
Predicted Score: AVS Futebol SAD 0 – 3 Benfica