Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-04
- Time: 3:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre, France
Game Overview
The upcoming Ligue 1 match between Auxerre and Le Havre on May 4, 2025, pits two teams with differing form against each other. Auxerre currently sits at 10th in the league standings, while Le Havre is positioned at 16th.
Key Factors to Consider
- Auxerre has a relatively stronger performance, securing 3 wins out of their last 6 matches. In contrast, Le Havre struggles with away losses, having lost 53% of their away games this season.
- Auxerre has faced challenges against Le Havre historically, losing 50% of their last 6 matchups.
- No specific recent injury reports were noted for either team.
- Both teams face pressure, with Auxerre aiming to maintain their mid-table position and Le Havre looking to escape the relegation zone.
- Auxerre is motivated to perform well at home to maintain their league position, while Le Havre needs a win to push upward in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Auxerre: 110, Le Havre: 230, Draw: 265 | Auxerre to win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Auxerre: -0.25 -118, Le Havre: 25 -102 | Auxerre to cover | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Auxerre 16% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Auxerre at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Auxerre's recent form and home advantage, they are likely to secure a victory against a struggling Le Havre side.
Predicted Score: Auxerre 2, Le Havre 1