Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Game Overview
Auxerre hosts Le Havre in a Ligue 1 fixture where Auxerre is favored but recent form and head-to-head encounters suggest a close, potentially high-scoring contest.
Key Factors to Consider
- Auxerre is aiming to rebound after three winless matches and holds a mid-table position aiming for survival, while Le Havre is battling relegation and recently suffered a heavy 6-2 defeat, but both teams have shown attacking prowess with recent games featuring multiple goals.
- The last four meetings between Auxerre and Le Havre have all featured over 2.5 goals; recent direct encounters include a 2-2 draw and a 3-1 Le Havre win, indicating competitive and high-scoring ties.
- Auxerre is recovering key players Buayi-Kiala, Diomande, and Siwe from recent absences, with no new injury concerns; Le Havre's injury status is stable but defensive frailties remain a concern.
- The match will be played in normal temperatures around 18°C with possible rain, potentially affecting pitch conditions but not decisively impacting either side.
- Auxerre is motivated to secure top-flight survival and rebound from recent lackluster results; Le Havre is fighting to escape relegation pressure and will be eager to respond after heavy defensive lapses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +110, away: +240, draw: +240 | Draw | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | auxerre_-0.25: -120, le_havre_+25: +100 | Auxerre -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | over_2.5: +105, under_2.5: -125 | Over 2.5 Goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auxerre 36% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 33% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Auxerre at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw
Predicted Score: 2-2
