Match Analysis: Auxerre vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Game Overview
AS Monaco visits Auxerre in Ligue 1 Matchday 4, with Monaco currently 4th with 6 points and Auxerre 14th with 3 points. Monaco has been stronger offensively and defensively, while Auxerre struggles but has shown some scoring ability.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monaco has a better recent form sitting 4th with 6 points and scoring 6 goals in their last matches. Auxerre have only 3 points from 3 games but managed 2 goals overall. Monaco's defense and attack are more reliable at this stage.
- The last encounter saw Monaco winning 4-2 at this venue, indicating Monaco's attacking edge over Auxerre historically.
- No significant injuries reported for either side that would drastically affect lineups or performance.
- Match at Auxerre's home ground could provide some home advantage, but Monaco's quality and experience likely outweigh this.
- Monaco motivated to maintain top-four standing and continue strong start; Auxerre motivated to avoid stagnation near relegation zone.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco: -155, Auxerre: +355, Draw: +325 | AS Monaco win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | AS Monaco -0.75: -122, Auxerre +75: +102 | AS Monaco -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 3: -115, Under 3: -105 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, with total goals expected to go over 3.
Predicted Score: 2-3