Match Analysis: Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Austin FC Home Stadium
Game Overview
A tightly contested MLS matchup where Seattle Sounders FC have historically dominated Austin FC, but both teams demonstrate good recent form and attacking capabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Austin FC has won 5 of their last 10 matches, showing decent but inconsistent form, whereas Seattle Sounders have won 7 of their last 10 matches, indicating stronger recent momentum.
- Seattle has been unbeaten in eight of the last nine matches against Austin, including five wins and three draws. Seattle also scored 11 goals to Austin's 4 in these encounters, showing clear historical superiority.
- No major injuries reported for either team in recent lineups; both sides expected to field near full-strength squads.
- Playing in Austin provides home advantage for Austin FC, but Seattle's confidence from superior head-to-head and recent away performances may offset that.
- Both teams seek crucial points late in the MLS season, but Seattle's unbeaten record vs Austin may give them added psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Austin FC: +170, Seattle Sounders FC: +148, Draw: +250 | Seattle Sounders FC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Austin FC +50: -189, Seattle Sounders FC -0.5: +141 | Seattle Sounders FC -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -127, Under 2.5: -104 | Over 2.5 Goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Sounders FC 24% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Seattle Sounders FC at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Sounders FC to win on the moneyline, with Over 2.5 goals scored, and Seattle to cover the -0.5 spread.
Predicted Score: Seattle Sounders FC 2 – 1 Austin FC