Match Analysis: Austin FC vs FC Dallas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas
Game Overview
The MLS matchup features Austin FC hosting FC Dallas at Q2 Stadium. Austin FC holds a home advantage and shows stronger recent form and goal difference compared to FC Dallas, a team struggling with defensive issues and lower win percentage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Austin FC has a better recent form with 3 wins, 2 draws, and fewer losses, averaging around 1.65 goals per game while conceding 1.41 goals. FC Dallas scores less and concedes more, with a poorer defensive record and only about a 32% win rate.
- Recent direct encounters favor Austin FC marginally, with their better home performance and slightly higher goal production against FC Dallas.
- No critical injuries reported for Austin FC or FC Dallas affecting starting lineups significantly.
- Austin FC enjoys home field advantage in a supportive stadium environment; travel and fatigue for FC Dallas may impact performance negatively.
- Austin FC is motivated to maintain playoff positioning with recent form; FC Dallas is under pressure due to defensive vulnerabilities and a need for points to improve standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Austin FC: -117, FC Dallas: 280, Draw: 285 | Austin FC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Austin FC -0.5: -122, FC Dallas +50: -109 | Austin FC -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -145, Under 2.5: 109 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Austin FC 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Austin FC at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Austin FC to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the game to go over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1