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Atletico Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-16
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

The Clássico Mineiro between Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro is a tightly contested fixture featuring closely matched teams in recent form and historical encounters. Despite Atlético Mineiro being the home team, Cruzeiro shows slight edge in recent head-to-head and form metrics. The match is expected to be low scoring and defensive, with both sides showing strong organization.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Mineiro has shown signs of struggle recently, enduring three straight losses and a coaching change with Jorge Sampaoli's debut. Cruzeiro is in better recent form, holding advantage in consecutive wins and robust defense.
  • Recent history favors Cruzeiro slightly, including a recent 0-0 draw with close competitive balance. Both teams tend to produce low scoring outcomes in their direct matches.
  • No significant injury reports available that drastically affect starting lineups for either side, suggesting lineups will be near full strength.
  • Playing at home teams often have marginal advantage but here environmental and venue factors are neutral with typical conditions and no extreme weather.
  • Atlético Mineiro is highly motivated to reverse poor form and show strength under new management, while Cruzeiro aims to consolidate recent gains and exploit Atlético’s instability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro: +190, Cruzeiro: +157, Draw: +205 Cruzeiro ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Atletico Mineiro: +105, Cruzeiro: -125 Atlético Mineiro +0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 goals: -118, Under 2 goals: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro to win (Moneyline), Atlético Mineiro +0 spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Santos vs. Corinthians Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santos vs Corinthians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Game Overview

Santos (16th, 28pts) hosts Corinthians (12th, 33pts) in a crucial Serie A clash. Both teams are out of title contention but fighting to avoid relegation danger. Recent form has been inconsistent for both sides, with Corinthians slightly above Santos in the table and in recent H2H results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Corinthians have a slightly better points tally and marginally superior recent results, but both teams have struggled for consistency this season. Santos' home form is a concern, while Corinthians have been inconsistent away.
  • Corinthians won the last meeting 1-0 on May 18, 2025. Over the last several seasons, Corinthians have had the upper hand, especially in Serie A encounters.
  • No detailed injury news available in the search results. Both teams have had absences throughout the season, but no major updates for this match.
  • The match is a local derby (the 'Clássico Alvinegro'), which adds intensity and unpredictability. The home crowd could lift Santos, but both teams are in a tense phase of the season, which may lead to cautious play.
  • Both teams urgently need points to avoid slipping further into the relegation zone. Santos, especially at home, will be desperate for a result, while Corinthians are aiming to consolidate a mid-table position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corinthians +275 / Santos +117 / Draw +195 Corinthians win ★★☆☆☆ 41%
Spread Corinthians +25 (-102) / Santos -0.25 (-118) Corinthians +0.25 (-102) ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under Over 2 (-105) / Under 2 (-115) Under 2 (-115) ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Corinthians 54%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Corinthians at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight, low-scoring contest with a slight edge to Corinthians due to better table position, H2H, and psychological advantage.

Predicted Score: Santos 0-0 Corinthians


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Fortaleza vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-16
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Fortaleza Home Stadium

Game Overview

This Brazilian Serie A clash features struggling Fortaleza hosting mid-table Vasco da Gama. Fortaleza are positioned 18th with poor recent form and a significantly negative goal difference, versus Vasco's 11th place and slightly positive goal difference. Both teams have had mixed results, but Vasco is marginally stronger on form and head-to-head.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza has 6 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses with a -15 goal difference. Vasco has 9 wins, 6 draws, 12 losses with a +1 goal difference. Recent form favors Vasco with a 3-0 away win over Fortaleza in their last encounter.
  • The last meeting ended 3-0 in favor of Vasco da Gama at home, showing Vasco’s dominance and psychological edge in recent direct encounters.
  • No major injuries reported for either side currently, with squads mostly fit to play.
  • Home advantage for Fortaleza provides some boost but their home form has been inconsistent. No extreme weather or other external factors expected that would heavily shift dynamics.
  • Vasco is motivated to further solidify mid-table security, while Fortaleza is under pressure to escape the relegation zone, adding urgency but also potential pressure-induced errors.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: +126, Vasco da Gama: +220, Draw: +220 Fortaleza ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Fortaleza -0.25: -105, Vasco da Gama +25: -115 Fortaleza -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Fortaleza win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Mirassol vs. Internacional Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Internacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Game Overview

Mirassol, with strong home form, hosts Internacional who have struggled away recently. Both teams frequently score and concede, making the game likely to produce goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol excels at home with a 70% win rate over last 10 home matches and no losses, showing strong defense and attack consistency. Internacional struggles away with only 2 wins in 10 matches and higher losses (40%).
  • Recent H2H saw a 1-1 draw in May 2025 at Internacional’s home, with Internacional favored but Mirassol demonstrating competitiveness.
  • No significant injury news reported affecting key players for either side, maintaining team strength and balance.
  • Venue is Mirassol’s home ground, giving them a familiar environment and fan support advantage. No adverse weather issues are expected.
  • Mirassol appears highly motivated to continue their strong home performance and climb standings; Internacional needs points but faces a tough away challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: 108, Draw: 230, Internacional: 260 Mirassol ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Mirassol -0.25: -125, Internacional +25: 105 Mirassol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol to win on the Moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, with over 2.25 goals expected.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Sport Recife vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sport Recife vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ilha do Retiro, Recife, Brazil

Game Overview

Brazil Campeonato Serie A match between struggling home side Sport Recife and mid-table Ceará. Sport Recife are bottom of the table with poor recent form and a negative goal difference, while Ceará are positioned 10th with a positive goal difference. Historical clashes and the home advantage should be considered.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sport Recife have a poor season, with only 2 wins in 26 matches, a heavy negative goal difference (-21), and poor recent form. Ceará have a stronger overall performance with 9 wins, a positive goal difference (+2), and better consistency.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor Ceará slightly. Draw outcomes are common, with the last meetings often ending in stalemates or narrow wins.
  • No critical injury information available suggesting major absences for either side, implying both teams are near full strength.
  • Sport Recife benefit from home advantage at Estadio Ilha do Retiro but face pressure due to poor standing. Weather or travel issues are not indicated.
  • Sport Recife face relegation threat, motivating them to fight hard at home. Ceará are mid-table with less pressure but may aim for a stable finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +139, away: +215, draw: +200 Draw ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread home: +105, away: -125 Sport Recife -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under over: -122, under: +102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw on Moneyline, Sport Recife -0.25 on Spread, Under 2 on Over/Under

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Botafogo vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos

Game Overview

This Brasileirão Serie A clash features Botafogo hosting Flamengo in round 28. Flamengo are slight favorites based on historical strength, current form, and odds, but Botafogo's home advantage and recent competitiveness make this a closely contested match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo currently demonstrate stronger league form and more consistent scoring (recently averaging ~1.5 goals per game), while Botafogo have shown resilience at home but less firepower. Recent matches show Flamengo's ability to control second halves and convert chances.
  • Historically, Flamengo lead with 26 wins to Botafogo's 12 in 57 meetings; 33% ended in draws. Interestingly, draw rates are higher in first halves (56%) but Flamengo show more late dominance. The last match ended 0-0 at Maracanã, indicating tight play between these sides.
  • No major absences reported for either squad, suggesting both teams will field close to full strength, preserving competitive balance.
  • Boutafogo have home ground advantage with the match played at Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos, but Flamengo's stadium familiarity and travel to Rio de Janeiro (both teams based there) reduce typical away disadvantages.
  • Flamengo are pushing to solidify a top-table finish and seek automatic continental qualification, motivating aggressive play. Botafogo aim to secure safety or a mid-table finish, likely adopting a cautious but opportunistic approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: +285, Flamengo: +107, Draw: +212 Flamengo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Botafogo +25: +108, Flamengo -0.25: -128 Flamengo -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25: +100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win on the moneyline, Flamengo -0.25 on spread, and Under 2.25 goals in over/under market.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Palmeiras vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-15
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Matchday 28 of the Brazilian Campeonato Serie A sees league leaders Palmeiras host mid-table Bragantino-SP. Palmeiras are in dominant form, while Bragantino-SP have been inconsistent and recently unspectacular on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras are 1st with 55 points after 25 matches, sporting a 17-4-4 record and a +21 goal difference. Bragantino-SP are 9th with 36 points from 27 games (10-6-11, -5 GD). Palmeiras have 73% win probability (Wincomparator algorithm), while Bragantino-SP are given just 5.6% chance to win away[7]. Palmeiras are on a five-match unbeaten run, while Bragantino-SP lost four of their last six away league matches.
  • Recent H2H favors Palmeiras, who have won the last three Serie A encounters and have not lost to Bragantino-SP in the last five league meetings. Palmeiras also have a superior home record.
  • No major injuries reported for either side in latest available info.
  • No significant weather or venue concerns noted. Palmeiras have strong home support.
  • Palmeiras are pushing to secure the league title, while Bragantino-SP, comfortably mid-table, may lack the same urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -287, Bragantino-SP 768, Draw 415 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 83%
Spread Palmeiras -1.25 (-115), Bragantino-SP +1.25 (-105) Palmeiras -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-122), Under 2.5 (+102) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to control the match and win comfortably, likely covering the spread, but goals may be limited by Bragantino-SP's defensive approach.

Predicted Score: 2-0 Palmeiras


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Palmeiras vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras, the league leaders with dominant home form, face struggling Juventude near the relegation zone, presenting a clear mismatch in quality and motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras show excellent recent form with 4 wins in last 5 games and strong home stats (5 consecutive home wins, scoring 2.54 goals/game, conceding 0.69). Juventude are in poor form with 6 wins overall in 26 matches, low points tally, and negative goal difference.
  • Palmeiras hold a strong advantage historically with a superior league table position (+21 GD vs -27 GD) and higher win ratio.
  • No significant key injuries reported for Palmeiras; Juventude squad condition less favorable but specifics unknown.
  • Match at Allianz Parque benefits Palmeiras with home crowd support and familiar conditions; weather forecast stable mild temperature.
  • Palmeiras motivated to maintain top spot and push for title; Juventude likely under pressure trying to avoid relegation but overall quality gap is large.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -450, Draw +475, Juventude +1200 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Palmeiras -1.75 -105, Juventude +1.75 -115 Palmeiras -1.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 -122, Under 2.5 +102 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win straight up and cover the spread comfortably; match expected to produce more than 2.5 goals given Palmeiras' attacking efficiency.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Mirassol vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-09
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol home)

Game Overview

Mirassol hosts Fluminense in a close Brazilian Serie A clash where both teams have shown balanced recent form with Mirassol slightly ahead in the standings. Mirassol benefits from home advantage but is missing key defensive players due to suspension and injury. Fluminense arrives with some injuries and international duties but holds better recent away form and slightly better defensive stability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has 43 points with 11 wins, showing 1.2 goals scored but also concedes around 1.6 goals per game. Fluminense has 38 points with 11 wins but only 5 draws and 9 losses, averaging similar goal scoring but better defense.
  • Historically a close matchup with Mirassol having won 3 of last 5 encounters with 1 draw and no losses, but overall recent matches have been tight and low scoring.
  • Mirassol is missing Jose Aldo and Lucas Ramon (suspensions), Edson Carioca and Matheus Sales (injuries), which weakens their defense. Fluminense is missing Kevin Serna (international duty), Ganso and Nonato due to injury reducing midfield creativity.
  • Fluminense's key forward Everaldo leads their shots on target, indicating attacking threat. Mirassol’s home stadium atmosphere and lineup stability gives a slight edge.
  • Mirassol needs points more urgently to solidify their position, while Fluminense looks to improve consistency to climb the table. Both teams motivated but Mirassol slightly more due to home crowd and current form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: 138, Fluminense: 220, Draw: 200 Mirassol ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mirassol -0.25: 105, Fluminense +25: -125 Mirassol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Mirassol win; Spread: Mirassol -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro hosts Sport Recife in a Série A match, with Atletico Mineiro favored due to their stronger recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro is undefeated in their last four matches at home, while Sport Recife has struggled, winning just once in their last eight games.
  • Atletico Mineiro has a positive head-to-head record against Sport Recife, especially in recent matches.
  • No significant injury updates impacting the lineups.
  • Home advantage and fan support should favor Atletico Mineiro.
  • Atletico Mineiro is motivated to bounce back from their recent loss and maintain a strong league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -164 (Atletico Mineiro), 475 (Sport Recife), 265 (Draw) Atletico Mineiro Win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -0.75 -122 (Atletico Mineiro), 75 102 (Sport Recife) Atletico Mineiro -0.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.25 -112, Under 2.25 -108 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro will have a strong home win against Sport Recife, with a low number of goals scored.

Predicted Score: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sport Recife


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