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Atlético Madrid vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts Villarreal in a La Liga match. Atlético is the favorite with slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Villarreal is considered a potential upset threat but with some recent struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has shown solid but inconsistent form, slightly better defensively and offensively than Villarreal, who have struggled in away games recently.
  • Recent encounters favor Atlético Madrid slightly, especially at home, but Villarreal has been competitive, occasionally causing early pressure.
  • No major injuries reported for Atlético Madrid; Villarreal's squad is largely intact with no critical absences, indicating close strength on both sides.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel disadvantage; match at Atlético Madrid's home ground provides them usual strong home support.
  • Atlético Madrid is motivated to secure three points early in the season to climb the table, while Villarreal aims to prove their resilience and avoid an early setback.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -118 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -118 Atlético Madrid -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under -108 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés Barria

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Alavés in a La Liga matchup with Bilbao as favorites due to their strong home form and historical edge in head-to-head matches. Alavés are considered strong underdogs with limited recent success against Bilbao.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao shows solid recent form, especially at home, with a generally strong defensive record and effective attack. Alavés have struggled against Bilbao historically and tend to underperform away in this fixture.
  • Out of 31 meetings, Athletic Bilbao have won 17 times, Alavés 6 times, with 8 draws; goal difference heavily favors Bilbao (45-24). Recent trends also show a dominance of Bilbao winning or drawing to avoid losses at home.
  • No major injury news reported for either side affecting key starters, indicating both teams will likely field strong lineups.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or travel disadvantages reported; the game is a home fixture for Bilbao, which adds to their advantage.
  • Athletic Bilbao motivated to maintain strong home records early in the season; Alavés under pressure to improve away form but face tough historical matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -179, Alavés: 525, Draw: 290 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Athletic Bilbao -1: 100, Alavés +1: -120 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win on the moneyline; Athletic Bilbao -1 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Reale Arena, San Sebastián, Spain

Game Overview

Real Madrid enters this La Liga clash in strong form with three consecutive wins and a +5 goal difference, leading the table early in the season. Real Sociedad remains winless with two draws and one loss, presenting a clear form disparity. Real Madrid's quality and momentum, combined with Sociedad's weaker attack and defensive struggles, set the stage for a likely away victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid is undefeated with 3 wins, scoring dominantly, while Real Sociedad has yet to win, drawing twice and losing once, showing early season struggles.
  • Historically, Real Madrid has the advantage with 10 wins out of 18 recent encounters compared to 4 for Sociedad and 4 draws.
  • No critical injuries reported that would notably impact Real Madrid's starting strength; Sociedad may lack key offensive options but no specific major injuries noted in available data.
  • Match played at Sociedad's home ground which generally offers them some advantage, but current form differences overshadow this. No notable weather or external disruptions reported.
  • Real Madrid is motivated to maintain top position and momentum early in the season, whereas Sociedad aims to break a winless streak but faces psychological and form challenges.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Madrid: -174, Real Sociedad: 420, Draw: 340 Real Madrid ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Real Madrid -1: 100, Real Sociedad +1: -120 Real Madrid -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid moneyline win, Real Madrid -1 on spread, Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Getafe vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Getafe vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Coliseum

Game Overview

Getafe hosts Real Oviedo in a La Liga clash with Getafe as slight favorites. The teams show a clear disparity in recent form and home/away performance, suggesting Getafe holds an advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Getafe demonstrates stronger recent form and home advantage, having a positive record at Estadio Coliseum. Oviedo struggles significantly on the road with only 2 wins in their last 17 away games.
  • Historically, Getafe has a better record versus Oviedo with higher odds support for the home side. Probabilistic simulations give Getafe roughly a 48% chance to win, Oviedo about 24%, and draws near 29%.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect the starting XI or tactics.
  • Neutral conditions expected with no extreme weather or travel concerns; venue favors home side Getafe.
  • Getafe is motivated to solidify early season standing at home, while Oviedo faces pressure due to poor away performances, potentially affecting confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Getafe: -102, Oviedo: 370, Draw: 200 Getafe ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Getafe -0.5: -102, Oviedo +50: -118 Getafe -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 goals: +105, Under 2 goals: -125 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Getafe 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Getafe at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Getafe win; Spread: Getafe -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sevilla vs. Elche CF Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sevilla vs Elche CF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Game Overview

Sevilla will host Elche CF in a La Liga match where Sevilla comes in as a strong home favorite due to superior recent form and squad quality.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla has shown solid form at home this season with consistent point accumulation, whereas Elche struggles away with limited offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Historically, Sevilla dominates Elche in head-to-head matchups, often winning comfortably, especially on home soil.
  • No major injuries reported for Sevilla impacting starting XI; Elche has some limited squad issues but nothing critical enough to shift odds significantly.
  • Match is at Sevilla's home stadium, which favors them due to fan support and travel fatigue on Elche.
  • Sevilla is motivated to maintain a strong start in La Liga to challenge for European places; Elche is aiming to avoid relegation pressure but likely not enough to overcome Sevilla.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: -101, Elche CF: 310, Draw: 225 Sevilla ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Sevilla -0.5: -102, Elche +50: -118 Sevilla -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sevilla 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla to win on the moneyline; Sevilla -0.5 spread; under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Barcelona, the reigning La Liga champions and currently 2nd in the league, visit Rayo Vallecano, who sit 8th. Barcelona have won their first two matches and have recent dominance in head-to-head encounters. Rayo Vallecano showed some scoring ability but are underdogs at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona have won their opening two games convincingly and are in excellent form, scoring 23 goals in their last 5 matches overall. Rayo Vallecano have mixed form with 3 points from two matches and 11 goals in their last 5 matches.
  • Barcelona dominate historically with 16 wins to Rayo Vallecano's 3 in their last 21 meetings, including a recent 1-0 victory in February 2025. Barcelona have won the last 3 consecutive matches.
  • No major injuries reported for either side affecting key players ahead of this match.
  • Barcelona have had a full week of rest and preparation for this fixture, while Rayo Vallecano will have made wholesale changes from a midweek game, potentially impacting cohesion.
  • Barcelona are motivated to maintain pressure at the top of the table and extend their winning streak. Rayo Vallecano aim to hold home advantage but face a tough opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona -250, Rayo Vallecano +575, Draw +420 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Barcelona -1.25 -120, Rayo Vallecano +1.25 +100 Barcelona -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25 -112, Under 3.25 -108 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona moneyline win

Predicted Score: Rayo Vallecano 1 – 3 Barcelona


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Espanyol vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Espanyol vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium, Cornella, Spain

Game Overview

Espanyol hosts CA Osasuna in a tightly matched La Liga contest with both teams showing mixed recent form but Espanyol slightly favoured at home. Expect a competitive game with moderate scoring potential.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol is 1-0 in their last 5 games and 2-0 against the spread in recent matches, showing solid home form. Osasuna has been competitive on the road and has a balanced recent record, making them a credible challenger.
  • Recent H2H statistics suggest closely fought encounters with no dominant side, increasing the likelihood of a competitive match without clear blowouts.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters for either side, maintaining normal team strength.
  • No major external impacts such as weather or scheduling congestion reported. The venue supports Espanyol’s home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain early season points, with Espanyol keen to defend home turf and Osasuna targeting a strong away performance to build league momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Espanyol: 139, CA Osasuna: 215, Draw: 215 Espanyol ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Espanyol -0.25: 102, Osasuna +25: -122 Espanyol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Over 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Espanyol 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Espanyol at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol to win on the moneyline, Espanyol -0.25 on spread, Over 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Real Betis vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Betis vs Athletic Bilbao – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín, Seville

Game Overview

A La Liga fixture featuring Real Betis hosting Athletic Bilbao. Both teams show closely matched form, but Athletic Bilbao holds a slight edge in recent performance and winning probabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Betis have been solid at home but show moderate recent form (1-0 last 5). Athletic Bilbao is slightly stronger overall, with recent better momentum and higher win probability in simulations.
  • Historically competitive with relatively balanced outcomes; simulations indicate a near-even chance for a draw but Athletic Bilbao has a slight edge to win.
  • No critical injury news impacting the starting lineups significantly for either team, ensuring both squads are near full strength.
  • Game played at Betis' home venue but no notable external disruptions or weather issues expected.
  • Athletic Bilbao are motivated to build on recent momentum while Betis seek home advantage to overturn slightly lower predicted win chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Betis: +200, Athletic Bilbao: +152, Draw: +210 Athletic Bilbao ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Athletic Bilbao 0: -132, Real Betis 0: +111 Athletic Bilbao 0 ★★★☆☆ 67%
Over/under Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the statistical edge, recent form, and probabilities, the best single outcomes lean towards an Athletic Bilbao moneyline win, a spread pick favoring Athletic Bilbao, and an under 2.25 goals total.

Predicted Score: Real Betis 1-1 Athletic Bilbao


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Celta Vigo vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Balaídos Stadium, Vigo, Spain

Game Overview

The 2025/26 La Liga matchup features Celta Vigo hosting league leaders Villarreal. Celta Vigo currently sits 13th in the standings with a modest points tally, while Villarreal leads the league, demonstrating strong form and consistency early in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal is in excellent early-season form sitting 1st in La Liga with 6 points from 2 matches, showing offensive prowess and defensive solidity. Celta Vigo is mid-table (13th) with 3 points, struggling to consistently score or maintain defensive stability at home.
  • Recent H2H meetings favor Villarreal slightly, reflecting their superior form and squad depth. Villarreal have been more consistent in securing points against Celta Vigo in recent seasons.
  • No significant injury reports for either side affecting key starters have been noted, suggesting both teams field strong lineups.
  • The match is at Balaídos Stadium, providing home advantage to Celta Vigo, but Villarreal's momentum and depth mitigate this to some extent. No indicated weather or travel issues impacting the game.
  • Villarreal aims to maintain their top league position, while Celta Vigo seeks points to climb out of the mid-table zone; Villarreal's motivation to lead early in the campaign appears higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 171, away: 148, draw: 255 Villarreal ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread home: 100, away: -120 Celta Vigo +0 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -112, under: -108 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Villarreal at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win on the moneyline, Celta Vigo +0 spread, and under 2.75 goals total

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Real Madrid vs. Mallorca Prediction La Liga in Soccer

Match Analysis: Real Madrid vs Mallorca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Game Overview

Real Madrid hosts Mallorca in a La Liga clash, with Real Madrid as a strong favorite given their dominant recent form and home advantage, facing a Mallorca side that has struggled both away and overall this season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid has exhibited strong recent form, winning the majority of matches and showing offensive firepower. Mallorca has had a poor start and weak away results.
  • Historically, Real Madrid is dominant over Mallorca, with a high win percentage and significantly better results at home.
  • No significant injuries reported that would impact Real Madrid's first-choice squad; Mallorca has no major injury updates reported.
  • The match is played at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, favoring Real Madrid. No unusual external disruptions noted.
  • Real Madrid aims to maintain pressure at the top of the table early in the season; Mallorca looks to gain confidence and points to avoid relegation pressures.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Madrid -460 / Draw +575 / Mallorca +1000 Real Madrid ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Real Madrid -2 (-102) / Mallorca +2 (-118) Real Madrid -2 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3 -112 / Under 3 -108 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid to win on the moneyline, covering the -2 goal spread and the match to go over 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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