Match Analysis: Atlanta United FC vs Seattle Sounders FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Game Overview
Atlanta United FC hosts Seattle Sounders FC in an MLS matchup where Seattle enters favored owing to better recent form and stronger defensive record while Atlanta struggles with a winless streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle Sounders have won 2 of their last 3 games and hold a solid defensive record, whereas Atlanta United is enduring a 7-match winless streak with 4 losses in that span.
- Historically, 50% of matches between these sides ended in draws. Recent encounters show a tendency toward evenly matched contests with low goal margins.
- No major injuries reported that would drastically affect either side's starting lineup.
- Seattle will be motivated to maintain momentum before the Leagues Cup; Atlanta aims to break their poor run at home.
- Seattle's recent good form and positioning for playoffs increase their motivation, whereas Atlanta's need to respond after a poor run supports their desire but diminishes confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atlanta United FC: 165, Seattle Sounders FC: 150, Draw: 265 | Seattle Sounders FC | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Atlanta United FC 0: -105, Seattle Sounders FC 0: -115 | Atlanta United FC +0 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 3: 100, Under 3: -120 | Under 3 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Sounders FC 23% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Sounders to win on the moneyline, Atlanta +0 spread for potential value, Under 3 goals total
Predicted Score: 1-1