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Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de San Mamés

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Sevilla in the opening week of the 2025/26 La Liga season. Athletic Bilbao is favored to win given home advantage, stronger squad stability, and recent statistical models projecting them as clear favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao maintained relative squad consistency over the off-season and have shown solid form recently. Sevilla, meanwhile, has a slow squad with limited new signings and tactical changes under new coach Almeyda, which may hinder their adaptability.
  • Historical H2H advantages lean toward Athletic Bilbao, especially when playing at home, where Sevilla has struggled to gain points.
  • No critical injuries reported for Athletic Bilbao. Sevilla’s lineup appears stable but lacks pace, potentially limiting offensive options.
  • The match is played at San Mamés, notoriously a difficult venue for visiting teams, giving Athletic Bilbao a significant edge. Early season motivation to start strongly impacts both sides.
  • Athletic Bilbao looks motivated to capitalize on home advantage and set a strong tone for the season, especially with players like Nico Williams expected to perform well. Sevilla aims to adjust tactically but faces an uphill battle early on.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -174, draw: 295, away: 475 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Athletic Bilbao: -1 105, Sevilla: +1 -125 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★☆☆ 66%
Over/under Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win on the moneyline, cover the -1 spread, and the under 2.25 goals to hit.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Sevilla Prediction

Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-17 Time: 5:30 PM UTC Location: Estadio de San Mamés Game Overview Athletic Bilbao hosts Sevilla in the opening week of the 2025/26 La Liga season. Athletic Bilbao is favored to win given home advantage, stronger squad stability, and recent statistical models projecting them […]

Athletic Bilbao August 17, 2025 Sevilla Soccer

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Celta Vigo vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Celta Vigo vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Game Overview

This La Liga matchup features Celta Vigo hosting Barcelona, with Barcelona currently 2nd in the league and Celta mid-table at 12th. Barcelona lost recently in the Champions League but remain strong domestically with an 8W-1D-2L record, while Celta has shown home resilience but modest scoring. The last encounter was a thrilling 4-3 Barcelona win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona have won 3 of their last 4 matches against Celta and hold a superior league position with strong offensive stats but some defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 13 goals in 11 matches. Celta have been steady at home but less prolific, with 4 draws in their last 6 home games.
  • Out of 28 encounters, Barcelona lead with 15 wins to Celta's 6, including a recent 4-3 victory. The matchups often produce multiple goals, showing vulnerabilities on both sides.
  • No critical injury updates reported for key starters in both teams that would significantly impact the match outcome.
  • Barcelona may have some fatigue from a recent high-scoring Champions League 3-3 draw, but their squad depth and motivation to close the gap on Real Madrid are high. Celta's motivation is to climb from mid-table position with home support.
  • Barcelona aims to maintain pressure on La Liga leaders Real Madrid, while Celta looks to gain points to improve standing and capitalize on home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona: -155, Celta Vigo: 370, Draw: 330 Barcelona ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Barcelona -1: 105, Celta Vigo +1: -125 Barcelona -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25: -115, Under 3.25: -105 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona to win on the moneyline; Barcelona to cover -1 spread; Over 3.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-3


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Mallorca vs. Getafe Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mallorca vs Getafe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Mallorca Son Moix

Game Overview

A La Liga clash between two struggling sides, with Mallorca sitting just above the relegation zone and Getafe seeking consistency. Both teams are under pressure to improve their league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mallorca are in poor form, sitting 17th with just 9 points from 11 games and coming off a heavy 3–0 loss to Real Madrid[5]. Getafe, while not much higher in the table, have shown slightly more resilience. Overall, neither side is in inspiring form, but Mallorca’s home advantage is offset by recent poor results[5].
  • Recent H2H encounters have been closely contested, with neither side dominating. The low-scoring nature of these games is notable, with past matches often decided by a single goal or ending in draws.
  • No major injury news reported for either squad, with predicted lineups both appearing close to full strength[1].
  • No significant external factors (weather, crowd, suspensions) reported.
  • Both teams are desperate for points to move away from the relegation zone. Mallorca, at home, may feel added pressure, while Getafe could play with slightly less pressure as the away side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Getafe +235, Mallorca +145, Draw +188 Getafe ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Getafe +25 -125 Getafe +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 1.75 -118, Under 1.75 -102 Under 1.75 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Getafe 34%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Getafe at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tight, low-scoring game is expected, with Getafe holding a narrow edge thanks to marginally better form and psychological resilience, while Mallorca’s poor run lowers home confidence.

Predicted Score: Mallorca 0–1 Getafe


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Valencia vs. Real Betis Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Valencia vs Real Betis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mestalla

Game Overview

Valencia hosts Real Betis in a La Liga Round 12 clash. Valencia have struggled this season and sit 18th with 9 points from 11 matches, while Real Betis are in better form, positioned 5th with 19 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Valencia have underperformed significantly, winning only 9 points in 11 games, with poor home form. Real Betis have been consistent, unbeaten in 5 away league matches (1 win, 4 draws).
  • Historically, Valencia have a slight edge overall, having won 21 of 42 matches against Betis. The recent H2H is balanced: Valencia 10 wins, Real Betis 11 wins, 8 draws.
  • No significant injury news reported affecting key starters for either side ahead of this match.
  • The match is played at Mestalla, traditionally a tough venue but Valencia’s current form mitigates the home advantage. No unusual external factors noted.
  • Valencia fight relegation and urgently need points to improve their position and morale. Real Betis, comfortably top half, may approach cautiously but with confidence from their strong form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Betis: +117, Valencia: +225, Draw: +250 Draw ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Real Betis -0.25: -115, Valencia +25: -105 Valencia +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Betis at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

Game Overview

Real Madrid travel to Rayo Vallecano in La Liga. Madrid are flying at the top of the table, boasting 10 wins in 11, while Rayo Vallecano sit 10th with 4 wins and 5 losses. The contrast in form and quality favors Real Madrid, but recent head-to-head results show Rayo can occasionally frustrate their wealthy neighbors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Madrid are in dominant league form, leading La Liga with a goal difference of +16. Rayo Vallecano have been inconsistent, struggling for defensive solidity with a negative goal difference, though they have been competitive at home[3].
  • Real Madrid typically dominate this matchup, but Rayo Vallecano have occasionally secured draws in recent seasons, especially at home. However, Madrid have won most encounters decisively[1].
  • No major injury news from either side is referenced in the available data, but always check lineup confirmations closer to kickoff.
  • No significant external factors indicated (weather, travel, suspensions, etc.). The game is a local derby, which could add intensity but is unlikely to significantly disrupt Madrid's superiority.
  • Real Madrid are motivated to maintain their title charge; Rayo Vallecano will fight for pride and local bragging rights, but their realistic ambitions may be limited by the gap in quality.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano +500, Draw +390, Real Madrid -220 Real Madrid win ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Rayo Vallecano +1.25 -125, Real Madrid -1.25 +105 Real Madrid -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3 -108, Under 3 -112 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Madrid 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Madrid at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Madrid should maintain their excellent league form and secure a comfortable win, though Rayo Vallecano's fighting spirit at home could keep the scoreline from getting out of hand.

Predicted Score: Real Madrid 3 – 1 Rayo Vallecano


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Athletic Bilbao vs. Oviedo Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Oviedo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: San Mamés, Bilbao

Game Overview

Athletic Bilbao hosts Real Oviedo in a competitive La Liga match at San Mamés. Athletic Bilbao enters after two consecutive defeats including a 2-0 loss in the Champions League, while Oviedo drew scoreless at home in their last outing. Recent form favors Athletic despite recent setbacks, with Oviedo showing resilience but limited offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Athletic Bilbao has lost its last two matches but generally performs strongly at home. Oviedo has shown defensive discipline with a 0-0 draw but lacks scoring consistency.
  • Over the last 19 meetings, Athletic Bilbao leads narrowly with 7 wins against Oviedo's 6, and 6 draws, reflecting a historically balanced rivalry.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team, maintaining squad stability.
  • No significant external factors; home advantage for Athletic Bilbao at San Mamés is a notable edge.
  • Athletic Bilbao is motivated to bounce back after recent losses and maintain league standing, while Oviedo aims to secure points to avoid relegation threats.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao: -196, Oviedo: +675, Draw: +280 Athletic Bilbao ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Athletic Bilbao -1: -115, Oviedo +1: -105 Athletic Bilbao -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Athletic Bilbao -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Athletic Bilbao to win on the moneyline; Athletic Bilbao -1 on the spread; Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Espanyol vs. Villarreal Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Espanyol vs Villarreal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RCDE Stadium, Barcelona

Game Overview

A closely contested La Liga fixture where Espanyol hosts Villarreal. Espanyol shows strong recent form and home advantage, while Villarreal has dominated H2H in recent years and holds a key psychological edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Espanyol are unbeaten in their last 3 matches and have covered the spread in 5 of their last 5 games, demonstrating strong recent form. Villarreal holds a 7-2-2 record for the season and averages higher goals scored per match compared to Espanyol.
  • Villarreal has won the last 5 consecutive H2H matches and unbeaten in 6 straight vs Espanyol. Espanyol's last win over Villarreal was in 2019/20. Villarreal averages 1.8 goals per meeting in the last 10 clashes, while Espanyol averages 1.1.
  • No major injuries reported for key players on either side, allowing both teams to field close to full strength.
  • Playing at RCDE Stadium gives Espanyol a notable home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be normal with no disruptions.
  • Both clubs are competing for European qualification spots, increasing the match's intensity. Espanyol is motivated to capitalize on home advantage, while Villarreal aims to maintain dominance in the rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +185 Espanyol ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread -128 Espanyol +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under -108 Over 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Espanyol 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Espanyol at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Espanyol moneyline winner

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Atlético Madrid vs. Levante Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Levante – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 5:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid, strong home favorites, face Levante, who struggle defensively and have poor away form. Atlético show solid recent results and motivation to maintain league momentum, while Levante are under pressure to secure points but likely to face difficulties.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid are 6-1-4 on the season with 2-2 in last 5 matches; Levante hold a 2-6-3 record and have defensive weaknesses. Atlético have better form and home advantage.
  • Of last 10 matches, Atlético won 5, drew 3, Levante won 2. Recent home meetings favored Levante twice, but Copa del Rey last encounter saw Atlético win 2-0.
  • No major injuries reported for Atlético; Levante have some squad depth issues reducing defensive solidity.
  • Match held at Atlético’s home ground with strong fan support; no significant weather or travel issues affecting either team.
  • Atlético motivated to consolidate a top position; Levante need points to avoid relegation battles, adding pressure but also urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -435, Levante: 1000, Draw: 550 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Atlético Madrid -1.75: -118, Levante +1.75: -102 Atlético Madrid -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3.25: +105, Under 3.25: -125 Over 3.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid to win outright on the moneyline with over 3 goals in the match

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Sevilla vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sevilla vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Game Overview

Sevilla host CA Osasuna in La Liga with Sevilla slightly favored at home; recent form shows Sevilla struggling with 3 consecutive losses and Osasuna on a moderate streak. The matchup historically tends to be low scoring and tight defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sevilla have a poor recent form of 1 win in last 5 matches and 3 consecutive losses, including a 3-0 defeat by Atlético Madrid. Osasuna have a 3-6-2 season record and played a 0-0 draw in their last fixture.
  • In recent encounters, matches between these teams have been low scoring, with 5 of 6 meetings having 2 or fewer goals. Historically, Sevilla have a stronger overall record, especially winning more overall meetings, but Osasuna have a good home record in their direct clashes.
  • No significant injuries reported for key players in the available data, both teams expected to field close to full strength.
  • Home advantage for Sevilla with strong fan support at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, but current form limits confidence. Market and public betting heavily favor Sevilla with 91% bets on them despite poor form.
  • Sevilla motivated to bounce back after consecutive losses and perform well at home, Osasuna seeking to continue decent form and capitalize on Sevilla's slump.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sevilla: 116, Draw: 225, Osasuna: 255 Sevilla ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Sevilla (-0.25): -118, Osasuna (+25): -102 Sevilla -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sevilla 17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sevilla at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sevilla to win on the moneyline considering home advantage, superior squad quality, and motivation to rebound despite recent form.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Girona vs. Alavés Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Girona vs Alavés – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadi Montilivi, Girona

Game Overview

Girona hosts Deportivo Alavés in a closely matched La Liga contest where both teams have shown inconsistency but Alavés display better tactical organization. Girona are fighting to avoid relegation, while Alavés have demonstrated resilience away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Girona have a 1-3 record in their last five games, struggling for form, while Alavés have mixed results but show tactical coherence despite back-to-back away defeats recently. Girona's home form offers a slight advantage.
  • In eight top-flight encounters, Girona and Alavés are evenly matched with three wins each and two draws. Both teams won away fixtures last season, and their matches tend to be low scoring with an average below 2.75 goals per game.
  • No critical injury information has been reported to significantly impact either side for this fixture.
  • Home advantage favors Girona moderately given the venue and fan support. There are no notable adverse weather or scheduling issues.
  • Girona faces pressure to secure points to avoid relegation battles, increasing their motivation. Alavés looks to maintain their league status with pragmatic play, likely prioritizing defensive solidity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +146, away: +205, draw: +212 Draw ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Alavés +25: -130, Girona -0.25: +110 Alavés +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under over 2.25: +105, under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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