Match Analysis: Athletic Bilbao vs Alavés – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: San Mamés, Bilbao, Spain
Game Overview
The match between Athletic Bilbao and Deportivo Alavés is a significant La Liga encounter, with Athletic Bilbao sitting higher in the standings than Alavés. This positioning suggests Athletic Bilbao has an advantage going into the match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Athletic Bilbao ranks 4th in La Liga, while Deportivo Alavés is ranked 17th. This disparity in league position indicates a potential performance difference between the two teams.
- Historical data shows that Athletic Bilbao generally performs better against Alavés, which could influence the match outcome.
- No specific injury information is available for this match, but it is crucial to check for any updates close to the match day.
- Weather conditions and crowd support could also impact the game, but these are less quantifiable factors.
- Athletic Bilbao will likely be more motivated to win to maintain their position in the league, while Alavés may be looking to secure points to improve their standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -115 for Athletic Bilbao, 360 for Alavés, and 235 for a draw | Athletic Bilbao to win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Spread | -0.5 for Athletic Bilbao at -112 and 50 for Alavés at -108 | Athletic Bilbao to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2 at -112 and Under 2 at -108 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Athletic Bilbao 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the current standings and past performances, Athletic Bilbao is expected to win the match.
Predicted Score: Athletic Bilbao 1, Deportivo Alavés 0