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Aston Villa vs. Bologna Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Bologna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England

Game Overview

Aston Villa and Bologna will face off in the UEFA Europa League group stage at Villa Park. Aston Villa are currently 1st in their league with a strong European home record last season, while Bologna hold 3rd position in Serie A and are looking to build on a recent comeback win. Both teams have had contrasting domestic results recently, with Villa drawing against Sunderland and Bologna winning narrowly against Genoa. The match marks the first meeting between these teams in this Europa League campaign, though they met in Champions League group stages last season, where Villa won 2-0 at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa have struggled with a six-game winless run this season across competitions, but boast a strong home European performance last season with five wins and four clean sheets in six games. Bologna have a solid record in Serie A with close one-goal margin wins and recent comeback form, but have been winless in five European matches against English sides.
  • Last season in the UEFA Champions League group stage, Aston Villa secured a 2-0 home victory against Bologna. Historically, Bologna are winless in their five European games facing English clubs, with four losses, favoring Villa psychologically and statistically.
  • No specific injury data available from current sources.
  • Villa Park offers a strong home atmosphere favorable to Aston Villa’s performance. Bologna may face away travel fatigue and historically struggle in European away matches in England.
  • Both teams aim to start their Europa League campaign strongly. Aston Villa will look to assert dominance at home and reverse their domestic form, while Bologna will seek to build confidence on European nights and continue their positive league momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: -119, Bologna: 360, Draw: 245 Aston Villa win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Aston Villa -0.5: -119, Bologna +50: -101 Aston Villa -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.5: 102, Under 2.5: -122 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa are favorites to win given their home advantage, historical head-to-head superiority, and European form. A closely contested game is expected but Villa’s edge should see them secure a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Aston Villa vs. Bologna Prediction

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Bologna – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-25 Time: 7:00 PM UTC Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England Game Overview Aston Villa and Bologna will face off in the UEFA Europa League group stage at Villa Park. Aston Villa are currently 1st in their league with a strong European home record last […]

Aston Villa Bologna September 25, 2025 Soccer

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Fluminense vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil SΓ©rie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: EstΓ‘dio do MaracanΓ£, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense hosts Sao Paulo in a crucial BrasileirΓ£o SΓ©rie A clash at MaracanΓ£. Both teams are in the upper half of the table, with Fluminense currently ranked 7th and Sao Paulo 8th. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides having similar recent form and a balanced head-to-head record. The stakes are high as both teams look to secure a top-six finish and potential continental qualification.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense has shown mixed form recently, winning 3 of their last 5 league matches but struggling for consistency. Sao Paulo has also been inconsistent, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5. Both teams have shown vulnerability defensively, with Fluminense conceding in 4 of their last 5 and Sao Paulo in 3 of their last 5. Fluminense tends to dominate possession at home, while Sao Paulo is more direct and relies on counter-attacks.
  • The historical head-to-head record is very close. In the last 25 meetings, Fluminense has won 10, Sao Paulo has won 9, and 6 ended in draws. In the last 6 meetings, Sao Paulo has won 3, Fluminense has won 2, and 1 was a draw. The most recent meeting this season ended in a 3-1 win for Sao Paulo. Fluminense has a slight edge in home meetings, but Sao Paulo has been competitive in recent years.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • The match will be played at MaracanΓ£, which is a strong home advantage for Fluminense. The weather is expected to be clear with mild temperatures, ideal for football. There are no significant officiating trends or external disruptions expected.
  • Both teams are fighting for a top-six finish and potential Copa Libertadores qualification. Fluminense will be motivated to bounce back from their recent loss to Sao Paulo, while Sao Paulo will look to maintain their position and secure a strong finish to the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: -120, Sao Paulo: 365, Draw: 230 Fluminense win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Fluminense -0.5: -118, Sao Paulo +50: -102 Fluminense -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Over 2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This match is expected to be very close, with both teams having similar strengths and weaknesses. Fluminense has a slight edge at home, but Sao Paulo has shown they can compete and win in recent meetings. The most likely outcome is a draw or a narrow win for Fluminense.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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KRC Genk vs. FC Basel Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: KRC Genk vs FC Basel – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cegeka Arena, Genk, Belgium

Game Overview

KRC Genk hosts FC Basel in a crucial UEFA Europa League League Phase match. Both teams are vying for advancement, with Genk currently in 13th place and Basel in 17th. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides needing points to improve their standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • KRC Genk has shown mixed results this season, struggling for consistency but capable of strong performances at home. FC Basel has been inconsistent away from home, often finding it difficult to convert chances. Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense, which could lead to an open match.
  • The two teams have met twice in the past, both matches ending in draws (2:2 aggregate). There is no clear historical advantage for either side, suggesting a closely matched contest.
  • No major injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • The match will be played at Cegeka Arena, where Genk has a slight home advantage. The weather is expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play. The atmosphere is likely to be intense, with strong support for Genk.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a positive result to improve their chances of advancing in the competition. Genk will be looking to capitalize on home advantage, while Basel will aim to secure a valuable away point.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Basel: 258, KRC Genk: -109, Draw: 272 Draw Not available
Spread FC Basel: 50 -111, KRC Genk: -0.5 -109 KRC Genk -0.5 Not available
Over/under Over: 3 -103, Under: 3 -117 Over 3 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline KRC Genk 41%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: KRC Genk at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be closely contested, with both teams having a realistic chance of winning. Given the historical trend of draws and the current form, a draw is a strong possibility. However, Genk's home advantage could edge them slightly ahead.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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Bologna vs. Salzburg Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bologna vs Salzburg – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 27, 2025
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

Bologna hosts Red Bull Salzburg in the fifth matchday of the UEFA Europa League League Phase. This is the first meeting between these two clubs in the Europa League. Bologna currently sits in 3rd place in the standings, while Salzburg occupies 28th place, indicating a significant quality gap between the two sides. Bologna will be looking to maintain their strong position and secure three points at home, while Salzburg seeks to upset the favorites and climb the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bologna has demonstrated superior form and league position (3rd vs 28th), suggesting they are significantly outperforming Salzburg in the competition. Bologna's placement in the upper echelon of the Europa League table indicates consistent results and tactical prowess. Salzburg's position near the bottom suggests they have struggled to adapt to this competition level.
  • This marks the first encounter between Bologna and Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League, so there is no historical head-to-head data to reference. Both teams will be approaching this match with limited knowledge of direct tactical matchups.
  • Specific injury information is not available in the provided search results. Both teams' medical status should be monitored through official team announcements.
  • The match takes place at Bologna's home stadium, providing a significant advantage. The home crowd, familiar pitch conditions, and no travel fatigue give Bologna a clear edge. Salzburg must travel to Italy and adapt to unfamiliar conditions.
  • Bologna is motivated to maintain their position near the top of the table and build momentum. Salzburg requires a positive result to improve their standing and demonstrate they can compete with stronger opponents in this competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bologna: -255 | Salzburg: 640 | Draw: 380 Bologna Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Bologna -1.25 (-113) | Salzburg +1.25 (-107) Bologna -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-110) | Under 2.75 (-110) Under 2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Bologna at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bologna is heavily favored to secure a victory at home against a significantly weaker Salzburg side. The combination of superior league position, home advantage, and recent form suggests Bologna should control the match and secure three points. A Bologna win is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Bologna 2 – 0 Salzburg


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Rangers FC vs. SC Braga Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rangers FC vs SC Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow, Scotland

Game Overview

Rangers FC host SC Braga in a critical UEFA Europa League group stage match at Ibrox Stadium. Rangers, currently ranked 36th in Europe, aim to leverage home advantage against Braga, who are ranked 5th and show strong form in both domestic and European competitions. The fixture is highly competitive, with both teams possessing quality squads and ambitions to progress in the tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rangers have shown solid recent form with four wins in their latest matches including victories in the Scottish Premiership and domestic cups, but have struggled against high-caliber European opposition like Roma. Braga have been competitive in the Portuguese Primeira Liga and maintained decent form in the Europa League with close results against strong sides such as FC Porto and Genk.
  • Previous encounters indicate a balanced rivalry with no definitive dominance. Recent Europa League meetings showed tight contests, emphasizing tactical battles more than goal-fests.
  • No detailed injury reports currently available; line-ups have not been officially released, which may affect late decisions. Both teams traditionally maintain competitive squads in UEFA fixtures.
  • The match at Rangers’ home ground provides a notable home advantage due to crowd support and familiarity with the venue. Weather and travel conditions are expected to be stable, with no significant external disruptions reported.
  • High motivation for Rangers to secure a positive result to enhance their progression chances from the group stage, particularly on home soil. Braga, aiming to assert their strong European standing, will be equally motivated to avoid defeat to maintain top positioning in the group.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rangers FC: 2.26, SC Braga: 1.22, Draw: 2.3 SC Braga win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Rangers FC: -0.25 at -110, SC Braga: +25 at -110 SC Braga -0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline SC Braga -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match likely to end in a draw or a narrow win for either side, with a slight edge to SC Braga due to their higher European ranking and recent competitive experience.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Lyon Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola, Serbia

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League Regular Season match between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Lyon will take place at Gradski Stadion, Backa Topola, Serbia. Lyon enters the match as a strong favorite with better recent form and higher-quality squad depth, while Maccabi Tel Aviv has faced difficulties in the competition with multiple losses in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lyon shows stronger overall form in both domestic and European competitions with higher quality in attack and defense. Maccabi Tel Aviv has struggled with 4 losses in 8 games in the Europa League this season, reflecting inconsistency and vulnerabilities in defense.
  • There is limited recent direct head-to-head data available for Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lyon, indicating these teams do not frequently meet in major European competitions. Lyon is generally considered the more experienced side at this level.
  • No specific injury updates were available from the recent data, but any minor squad absences are unlikely to affect Lyon significantly given their depth. The injury status of key Maccabi Tel Aviv players could impact their competitiveness.
  • The match is being played at a neutral venue (Backa Topola, Serbia), which may reduce home advantage effect for Maccabi Tel Aviv. Weather or travel fatigue has not been explicitly reported as a factor.
  • Both teams are competing for crucial group stage points in the Europa League. Lyon, needing to secure qualification or better positioning, likely has slightly higher motivation given their European ambitions and stronger squad.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lyon: -140, Maccabi Tel Aviv: 331, Draw: 310 Lyon to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Lyon: -0.75 -108, Maccabi Tel Aviv: +75 -112 Lyon to cover -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -118, Under: 2.5 -102 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lyon 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lyon at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lyon is favored to win the match with a strong probability, given their superior form, squad quality, and the odds heavily supporting them.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Red Star Belgrade vs. FCSB Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Red Star Belgrade vs FCSB – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Rajko MitiΔ‡, Belgrade, Serbia

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League group stage match between Red Star Belgrade (FK Crvena Zvezda) and FCSB is scheduled for November 27, 2025, at the Stadium Rajko Mitić in Belgrade. Both teams are competing in the league phase, with Red Star having a slight home advantage and experience in European competitions. FCSB travels for this crucial fixture, aiming to improve their standing. The match is expected to be competitive given both teams' recent European struggles and the importance of points at this stage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Red Star Belgrade currently sits 25th in the UEFA Europa League standings with 4 points from 4 games, showing occasional struggles to impose dominance. FCSB has similarly faced challenges in Europe, making this a tightly contested matchup. Red Star benefits from home form and European pedigree, whereas FCSB will rely on tactical discipline and counter-attack opportunities.
  • Recent H2H data is limited, but both clubs have met in competitive European matches previously, often resulting in close contests. Home advantage for Red Star historically favors them, but FCSB has managed to claim points on occasion.
  • No explicit recent injury reports have been found for either team ahead of this fixture. Both sides are expected to field near full-strength squads, pending final confirmations.
  • The match venue, Stadium Rajko MitiΔ‡, offers a strong home atmosphere backing Red Star. Weather conditions and travel fatigue could slightly influence FCSB. UEFA Europa League group dynamics add pressure for gaining crucial points.
  • Red Star’s drive to perform strongly at home in Europe is high given their standing. FCSB faces motivation from the need to secure points away, to keep hopes alive for progression. Both teams have comparable incentives to win, intensifying competitive spirit.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline red_star_belgrade: -240, fcsb: +615, draw: +365 Red Star Belgrade Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread red_star_belgrade: -1.25 at -118, fcsb: +1.25 at -102 Red Star Belgrade -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over_2.75: -123, under_2.75: +103 Under 2.75 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Red Star Belgrade -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 22%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Red Star Belgrade is favored to win due to home advantage and slightly stronger European experience, but the game could be close with a chance for a draw or an upset by FCSB.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Real Betis vs. FC Utrecht Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Betis vs FC Utrecht – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cartuja, Seville, Spain

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League Round 5 match features Real Betis hosting FC Utrecht. Real Betis, currently ranked 9th on Sofascore, will play at home with no reported player absences. FC Utrecht, ranked 32nd, faces key injuries and suspension impacting their squad depth. This match is important for both teams in group standings and progression prospects.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Betis have two wins in their last four matches, showing stable form especially at home. FC Utrecht have shown inconsistency with injuries to key players like Niklas Vesterlund and Rafik El Arguioui, plus suspended Vasilios Barkas, weakening their defense and depth.
  • Historically, Real Betis have had the upper hand against FC Utrecht in previous encounters, with stronger performances and better squad ratings. No matches indicate overwhelming dominance but Betis are favorites based on past results and current form.
  • Real Betis report no unavailable players. FC Utrecht are missing Vasilios Barkas (suspension), Niklas Vesterlund (injury), and Rafik El Arguioui (injury), which affects goalkeeper and midfield options significantly.
  • The match is played in a neutral-capacity stadium in Seville with Real Betis enjoying home advantage. Weather or pitch conditions are not reported as potential issues. COVID or other disruptions not noted.
  • Both teams seek points crucial for advancing in Europa League group stages, but Real Betis have better momentum and stronger motivation to leverage home support to secure qualification.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Real Betis: -285, Draw: 410, FC Utrecht: 700 Real Betis win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Real Betis -1.25: -120, FC Utrecht +1.25: 100 Real Betis -1.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.75: -116, Under 2.75: -104 Over 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Betis are highly favored to win due to better form, full squad availability, home advantage, and FC Utrecht’s injury/suspension issues. Expect Betis to control the match and secure a victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Panathinaikos FC vs. SK Sturm Graz Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Panathinaikos FC vs SK Sturm Graz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Likely Panathinaikos FC home stadium (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This UEFA Europa League match features Panathinaikos FC hosting SK Sturm Graz. Historically, Panathinaikos has dominated their past two encounters, winning both matches without any draws or losses. Both teams have no history of major competition titles in this tournament, making this clash important in their current campaign.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Panathinaikos has shown stronger performance in head-to-head meetings against Sturm Graz, winning 2 out of 2 games, with a total of 2 goals scored and remaining undefeated in these fixtures. Current form and detailed recent statistics are not explicitly provided but the home advantage and historical success favor Panathinaikos.
  • Panathinaikos won both previous head-to-head matches against Sturm Graz with no draws or losses, scoring a total of 2 goals to Sturm Graz's 0 in these encounters, indicating a psychological edge.
  • No specific injury or suspension information was available from the search results.
  • No external factors such as weather, travel difficulties, or venue changes have been reported that could significantly impact this match.
  • Both teams are motivated to progress in the UEFA Europa League, but Panathinaikos' historical dominance and playing at home give them a psychological and situational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Panathinaikos FC: -150, SK Sturm Graz: 450, Draw: 260 Panathinaikos FC to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Panathinaikos FC -0.75: -114, SK Sturm Graz +75: -106 Panathinaikos FC -0.75 (home win by at least 1 goal) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -113, Under 2.5: -107 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Panathinaikos FC 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Panathinaikos FC is predicted to win this match, leveraging their historical dominance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Nottingham Forest vs. Malmo FF Prediction UEFA Europa League in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nottingham Forest vs Malmo FF – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-27
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: City Ground, Nottingham, England

Game Overview

Nottingham Forest host MalmΓΆ FF in the UEFA Europa League league phase at City Ground, Nottingham on November 27, 2025. Nottingham Forest rank 23rd and have a relatively strong home form under manager Sean Dyche, being unbeaten in their last three home matches. MalmΓΆ FF, ranking 33rd, have struggled in recent European away fixtures, suffering heavy losses and are seeking their first win in the competition. The match carries historical weight as a repeat encounter of notable European fixtures between the two clubs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nottingham Forest have performed better in domestic and European competitions recently, including an unbeaten home streak under Sean Dyche, and a strong Premier League showing with a recent win against Liverpool. MalmΓΆ FF have endured a difficult European campaign with heavy away defeats (5-0 and 3-0) and are coming off a modest 2-1 home win in Sweden after a disappointing domestic season finish.
  • Historically, MalmΓΆ FF have played English opposition 11 times with nine defeats and only one win against Nottingham Forest in UEFA competition (a 2-1 home win in 1995). This will be a rare European meeting with Forest holding a superior record and strong home advantage.
  • No specific injury reports were mentioned in the provided data. However, a notable event was Morgan Gibbs-White missing a first-half penalty for Forest in recent matches, indicating some pressure on key players. Current suspensions or injury updates would require live monitoring closer to match day.
  • MalmΓΆ FF’s first competitive match in 18 days could affect their match fitness and sharpness negatively compared to Forest who are regularly competing in the Premier League. Weather conditions and stadium atmosphere at City Ground could favor the home team. Crowd support and travel fatigue may influence MalmΓΆ's performance.
  • Forest remain in contention for last-16 qualification and are motivated to secure a win to improve their standing. MalmΓΆ FF, struggling in the league phase and with no wins so far, are highly motivated to avoid elimination but face strong opposition at an away ground.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Malmo FF: 1125, Nottingham Forest: -460, Draw: 535 Nottingham Forest win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Malmo FF: 1.75 -110, Nottingham Forest: -1.75 -110 Nottingham Forest -1.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: 3 100, Under: 3 -120 Under 3 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nottingham Forest -17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nottingham Forest is favored to win at home due to superior recent form, historical advantage, and stronger motivation. MalmΓΆ FF may struggle with recent away form and lack of competitive matches recently. A Forest victory by a margin of 2 goals or more is probable.

Predicted Score: Nottingham Forest 2 – 0 MalmΓΆ FF


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