Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Torino – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 10:30 AM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Game Overview
AS Roma hosts Torino in a Serie A early-season clash where Roma, undefeated so far with strong home form, faces winless Torino struggling away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Roma sits 4th in Serie A with 2 wins in 2 matches, showing solid defense and scoring capability; Torino is 19th with only a single point from 2 games and a leaky defense conceding 5 goals.
- Roma has historically dominated Torino across 46 meetings, winning 29 with a strong goal difference; recent encounters often end low-scoring with Roma winning the majority.
- No major absences reported for Roma; Torino's squad fitness status is comparatively weaker but no confirmed key player injuries affecting lineups.
- Roma enjoys home advantage at Stadio Olimpico and faces no significant environmental or scheduling disruptions; Torino's travel and form put them at a disadvantage.
- Roma aims to maintain unbeaten home streak and consolidate top-table position, while Torino fights to escape relegation threats early in the season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -196, away: 550, draw: 315 | AS Roma | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | home: -115, away: -105 | AS Roma -1 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | over: -125, under: 105 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma 10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Roma to win on moneyline; Roma -1 goals on spread; Under 2.5 goals total
Predicted Score: 1-0