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AS Roma vs. Fiorentina Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 4 May 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Game Overview

Serie A clash between 6th-placed Roma and 8th-placed Fiorentina, with both teams aiming to secure European qualification. Recent form shows Roma undefeated in their last 4 league matches (2W 2D), including a 1-0 win against Verona and a draw against Juventus. Fiorentina's current form isn't fully detailed in available sources, but their 8th-place position suggests competitive consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Roma's recent defensive solidity (3 clean sheets in last 5 matches) contrasts with Fiorentina's unconfirmed attacking output. Home advantage at Stadio Olimpico historically favors Roma's press-oriented style.
  • Limited direct H2H data provided for the 2024/25 season, but historical Serie A meetings typically produce tight contests. Teams met at least once earlier in the season (exact result unavailable in sources).
  • No specific injury reports available in provided sources – assume full squads until further notice.
  • Match occurs during critical late-season phase where goal difference becomes secondary to outright results. No weather concerns reported for Rome on matchday.
  • Both teams likely fighting for Europa League positioning, with Roma having slightly better odds at continental qualification given their current 6th-place standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Roma -155, Draw +295, Fiorentina +440 Roma ML ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Roma -0.75 (-120), Fiorentina +75 (+100) Roma -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 (+100), Under 2.5 (-120) Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AS Roma 213%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: AS Roma at 213% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Roma win (1-0 or 2-1) through set-piece dominance and home crowd energy, though Fiorentina's counter-attacking threat makes this a nervy contest.

Predicted Score: 2-1 (Roma)


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AS Roma vs. Fiorentina Prediction

Match Analysis: AS Roma vs Fiorentina – Prediction Match Details Date: 4 May 2025 Time: 4:00 PM UTC Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome Game Overview Serie A clash between 6th-placed Roma and 8th-placed Fiorentina, with both teams aiming to secure European qualification. Recent form shows Roma undefeated in their last 4 league matches (2W 2D), including […]

AS Roma Fiorentina May 4, 2025 Soccer

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Bologna vs. Juventus Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bologna vs Juventus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

Bologna (5th, 61 PTS) hosts Juventus (4th) in a pivotal Serie A clash. Bologna's strong home form (recent wins against top sides) contrasts Juventus' mixed away results. Both teams are vying for European qualification, adding tactical complexity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bologna boasts a 16-13-5 record with recent wins over Inter Milan[3]. Juventus shows inconsistency but holds higher squad depth.
  • Historically Juventus-dominated, but Bologna has shown competitiveness in recent seasons (specific H2H data unavailable in sources).
  • No injury reports available from provided sources.
  • Late-season pressure and potential tactical adjustments for European qualification.
  • High stakes for Champions League/Europa League spots drive both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BOL 145 | JUV 215 | Draw 210 Bologna Win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread BOL -0.25 (108) | JUV +25 (-128) Bologna -0.25 Hits ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 (105) | Under 2.25 (-125) Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bologna 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bologna at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tight contest favoring Bologna's home advantage and momentum. Expect under 2.25 goals due to defensive approaches.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Bologna


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Monza vs. Atalanta BC Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Monza vs Atalanta BC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: U-Power Stadium

Game Overview

Monza, struggling at the bottom of Serie A, faces a tough challenge against third-placed Atalanta. The significant form difference and previous head-to-head results suggest Atalanta has a strong advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atalanta is in mixed form but has been strong on the road, winning 11 away matches. Monza has struggled, losing 5 of their last 5 Serie A games.
  • Atalanta dominates the head-to-head, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings against Monza with no Monza wins.
  • Not specified, but typically, injuries could significantly impact team performance.
  • Home advantage for Monza might provide some motivation, but Atalanta's overall form and H2H makes them favorites.
  • Atalanta's motivation to maintain a top spot in Serie A is high, while Monza fights to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Monza: 1000, Atalanta BC: -435, Draw: 550 Atalanta BC ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Atalanta BC: -1.75 -118, Monza: 1.75 -102 Atalanta BC to cover -1.75 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over: 3.25 102, Under: 3.25 -122 Under 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atalanta BC 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta is likely to secure a convincing victory given their previous encounters and form.

Predicted Score: Atalanta BC 3, Monza 0


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Empoli vs. Lazio Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Empoli vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 10:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli

Game Overview

Empoli, currently ranked 19th in Serie A, will face Lazio, who are 7th, on May 4, 2025. Lazio has a strong head-to-head record against Empoli, being undefeated in their last 12 games against them. Empoli's home record has been poor lately, winning only five of their last 31 home Serie A matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Empoli has struggled in recent home matches, while Lazio has maintained a steady performance. Empoli averages 0.44 goals per home match, indicating a challenging offensive capability.
  • Lazio has dominated the head-to-head, winning in 16 out of 25 encounters and remaining undefeated in the last 12 matches against Empoli.
  • No specific injury updates are available, but this could be a significant factor if key players are missing.
  • Weather and refereeing decisions could impact the match, but no specific details are provided.
  • Lazio's motivation to climb the table and secure European spots might be higher than Empoli's, who are fighting relegation but have limited success in recent home matches.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Empoli: 330, Lazio: -120, Draw: 270 Lazio to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Empoli: 50 -102, Lazio: -0.5 -118 Lazio to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lazio at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio is favored to win due to their historical dominance over Empoli and their better recent form.

Predicted Score: Empoli 0, Lazio 2


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Inter Milan vs. Hellas Verona Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Hellas Verona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy

Game Overview

2nd-placed Inter Milan (71 points) hosts 15th-placed Hellas Verona (32 points) in a Serie A fixture. Inter boasts a dominant H2H record and strong home form, while Verona struggles in away matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Inter has 63% win rate this season; Verona lost 10 of their last 17 away matches
  • Inter unbeaten in last 23 H2H matches (5 wins in last 6 encounters)
  • No specific injury data available in provided sources
  • San Siro home advantage with Inter's 7 consecutive home wins vs Verona in Serie A
  • Inter pushing for title contention while Verona battles mid-table security

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Inter -325 | Draw 440 | Verona 875 Inter Milan Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Inter -1.5 (-108) | Verona +1.5 (-112) Inter Milan -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.75 +102 | Under 2.75 -122 Over 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Inter Milan -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Inter Milan win with high probability of covering spread and over 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 3-0 Inter Milan


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Lecce vs. Napoli Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Lecce vs Napoli – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Via del Mare, Lecce, Italy

Game Overview

Lecce, currently ranked 17th in Serie A, is set to face Napoli, the league leaders, on May 3, 2025. Napoli has been dominant, while Lecce has struggled, particularly in recent home games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Napoli leads Serie A with 74 points, while Lecce has only 27 points. Napoli has an unbeaten run of 8 games, but Lecce has only won 3 of their last 21 Serie A matches.
  • Lecce has lost 3 out of the last 6 encounters against Napoli. Napoli has kept a clean sheet in all of their last 3 games against Lecce.
  • No specific injury information is available.
  • Home advantage is crucial, but Napoli's form and consistency make them favorites.
  • Napoli's motivation to maintain their league lead is high, while Lecce needs points to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lecce: 525, Napoli: -195, Draw: 320 Napoli win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Lecce: -108, Napoli: -112 Napoli -1 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: 102, under: -122 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Napoli 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Napoli at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 52.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Napoli is likely to win, given their recent form and historical advantage over Lecce.

Predicted Score: Napoli 2-0 Lecce


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Cagliari vs. Udinese Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cagliari vs Udinese – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Unipol Domus

Game Overview

Cagliari is set to host Udinese in a Serie A match. Cagliari is positioned 14th with 33 points, while Udinese sits at 12th with 41 points. Cagliari has struggled against Udinese historically, winning just 1 of their last 11 Serie A meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cagliari recently suffered a 2-1 loss to Fiorentina and has been inconsistent this season. Udinese has had mixed results, with a recent loss to Torino.
  • Cagliari has historically struggled against Udinese, with only one win in their last 11 Serie A matches.
  • Yerry Mina from Cagliari is dealing with a thigh injury, while Alexis Sanchez from Udinese has been limited due to a calf issue.
  • The under 2.5 goal trend has been prevalent in recent matches for both teams.
  • Both teams are looking for points, but Udinese's motivation might be higher given their desire to secure a better league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cagliari: +120, Udinese: +250, Draw: +225 Draw or Udinese win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Cagliari: -0.25 (-115), Udinese: +25 (-105) Udinese to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: +105, Under: -125 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Udinese 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Udinese at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Udinese is likely to have a slight edge due to their recent performances and past dominance over Cagliari, though a low-scoring match is predicted.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Parma vs. Como Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Parma vs Como – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 1:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Ennio Tardini (assuming home venue for Parma; exact venue not explicitly stated in sources)

Game Overview

Mid-table clash between 16th-placed Parma and 11th-placed Como in Serie A. Recent H2H shows parity with draws dominating recent encounters, while both teams exhibit moderate scoring form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parma averages 1.23 goals scored per match at home but shows defensive vulnerabilities (57.89% home games over 2.5 goals). Como scores 1.30 goals per match with 85.71% away games exceeding 1.5 goals[2].
  • Last 3 meetings ended in draws with under 2.5 goals[2]. Historically, Parma holds a slight edge (6 wins vs Como's 14, but recent parity emphasized in new data)[1][5]. Discrepancy in historical counts across sources requires caution.
  • No injury reports available from provided sources.
  • Potential pressure on Parma as lower-ranked home team. Como's strong away goal involvement (85.71% over 1.5 goals) could influence tactics[2].
  • Both teams likely seek points for mid-table consolidation rather than relegation battle based on current standings[4].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Como 135 | Draw 245 | Parma 200 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Como -0.25 (102) | Parma +25 (-122) Parma +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-110) | Under 2.5 (-110) Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Como 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Como at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw with under 2.5 goals. Low-scoring trend in direct clashes offsets both teams' moderate scoring averages.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Torino vs. Venezia Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Torino vs Venezia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium

Game Overview

Torino hosts Venezia in a Serie A clash where Torino holds a home advantage but struggles with inconsistency. Venezia remains winless away this season, diminishing their threat on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Torino has won 6 home games (6-6-4 record) compared to Venezia's 0 away wins (0-8-9). Torino's mixed Serie A form (10-13-10) slightly edges Venezia's weaker campaign (4-13-16)
  • Historical parity: 3 games show 1 win each and 1 draw[1]. Conflicting reports: Torino claims 2-1-2 in recent H2H (since 2004)[5], while another source shows 3-5-5 in 13 meetings[4]
  • No injury data available in provided sources
  • No weather/stadium anomalies reported
  • Mid-table Torino aims to solidify position; Venezia fights relegation, though their away form suggests limited threat

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Torino 120 | Venezia 265 | Draw 210 Torino Win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Torino -0.25 (-115) | Venezia +25 (-105) Torino -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 (-128) | Under 2 (+108) Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Torino 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Torino 1-0 victory via home advantage and defensive stability against Venezia's league-worst away attack

Predicted Score: 1-0 Torino


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Lazio vs. Parma Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Lazio vs Parma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-28
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico

Game Overview

This match between Lazio and Parma is set to be a highly one-sided contest, with Lazio holding significant historical advantages over Parma. Lazio's strong home performances and Parma's struggles away from home contribute to these expectations.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio has shown consistent form in Serie A, while Parma has struggled to achieve wins, especially on the road. Lazio averages more goals per match compared to Parma.
  • Historically, Lazio has dominated Parma in head-to-head matches, winning significantly more times.
  • No significant injury updates are provided, but this factor could impact team performance.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support at the Stadio Olimpico could favor Lazio, enhancing their home advantage.
  • Lazio's drive to improve their league standing and Parma's need to avoid relegation will motivate both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazio -210, Parma 525, Draw 360 Lazio ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Lazio -1.25 105, Parma 1.25 -125 Lazio ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 2.75 -108, Under 2.75 -112 Over ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio is likely to secure a comfortable win over Parma based on their historical dominance and current form.

Predicted Score: Lazio 3, Parma 1


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