Match Analysis: AS Roma vs FC Midtjylland – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 5:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy
Game Overview
The UEFA Europa League match between AS Roma and FC Midtjylland is set at the Stadio Olimpico in Rome on November 27, 2025. Roma face a formidable unbeaten Midtjylland side, with Roma struggling in the league standing 18th while Midtjylland tops their group, making this encounter highly competitive despite the home advantage for Roma.
Key Factors to Consider
- AS Roma has shown mixed form, scoring an average of 1.25 goals per match and conceding 1 goal per match in the Europa League this season with moderate possession (56%) and passing accuracy (84.25%). FC Midtjylland maintains a perfect record in the competition and leads their group with disciplined defense and efficient offense.
- No recent head-to-head historical data indicates a strong previous dominance, but Midtjylland currently holds form superiority with an unbeaten streak in the Europa League. Roma’s performances have been inconsistent despite home advantage.
- Current injury reports for both teams are limited; no major absences have been highlighted that might drastically affect the match outcome, suggesting both teams may field close to full-strength lineups.
- Playing at home gives Roma a slight edge due to venue familiarity and fan support. Weather or pitch conditions have not been reported as influential at this stage.
- Midtjylland’s motivation is high as they aim to maintain their unbeaten status and top spot in the group, whereas Roma, struggling domestically, see this match as crucial to revitalizing their Europa League campaign.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma: -225, FC Midtjylland: 555, Draw: 366 | AS Roma win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | AS Roma -1.25: -103, FC Midtjylland +1.25: -117 | AS Roma -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 3: 103, Under 3: -123 | Under 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Roma -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Roma to win, but expect a competitive match with Midtjylland challenging strongly despite the long odds.
Predicted Score: 2-1