Match Analysis: AS Roma vs AC Milan – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-18
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Olimpico (Roma)
Game Overview
AS Roma hosts AC Milan in a crucial Serie A match that could significantly impact both teams' standings in the league. Roma, currently in the hunt for a Champions League spot, will be motivated to secure a win at home, where they have not lost in the league in 2025. AC Milan, though behind in the Champions League race, must win and rely on other results to keep their hopes alive.
Key Factors to Consider
- AS Roma has been consistent at home, while AC Milan's recent form has been mixed. Roma's ability to control the game at home will be crucial.
- Recent head-to-head matches have shown mixed results, but Roma's home advantage could be decisive.
- No significant injury updates are available for both teams, but this could impact the lineups.
- The match schedule around Pope Francis' funeral has been adjusted, but this should not affect the matchday.
- Both teams have significant motivation to win, but Roma's home advantage might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma: 135, AC Milan: 195, Draw: 255 | AS Roma win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | AS Roma: -0.25 102, AC Milan: 25 -122 | AS Roma to cover | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over: 2.75 -110, Under: 2.75 -110 | Under 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Roma 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 -3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: AS Roma at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Roma's home record and AC Milan's inconsistent form, a home win is likely.
Predicted Score: Roma 2-1 AC Milan