Match Analysis: AS Monaco vs Le Havre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Louis-II, Monaco
Game Overview
AS Monaco hosts newly promoted Le Havre in a Ligue 1 clash where Monaco is strong favorite given their solid squad, top-flight experience, and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- AS Monaco have shown strong pre-season form and have the quality to dominate matches early in the season, while Le Havre are adjusting to Ligue 1 intensity as newcomers.
- Four recent competitive meetings resulted in 1 Monaco win and 3 draws, signifying Monaco slightly edges Le Havre historically.
- No major injury concerns reported for either side, meaning Monaco likely fields a full-strength squad versus Le Havre's best available.
- Monaco's home pitch and fan support typically amplify their performance. Travel and adjustment factors may negatively affect Le Havre.
- Monaco aims to start with a convincing win to establish early momentum; Le Havre are motivated to prove they belong in Ligue 1 but face an uphill battle.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -295, draw: 445, away: 735 | Home Win | β β β β β 82% |
Spread | home_-1.5: -106, away_+1.5: -114 | Home -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | over_3: -117, under_3: -103 | Over 3 Goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco 526% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: AS Monaco at 526% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 71.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Monaco to win comfortably and cover -1.5 spread with over 3 goals likely
Predicted Score: 3-1