Match Analysis: Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Emirates Stadium
Game Overview
Arsenal hosts Nottingham Forest in a Premier League fixture where Arsenal is favored strongly based on recent form, home advantage, and historical dominance. Nottingham Forest have shown resilience but face a challenge breaking down Arsenal's attack.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arsenal's recent form includes wins over Leeds and Manchester United but a loss to Liverpool. Nottingham Forest have a mixed recent run with a win over Brentford, a draw against Crystal Palace, and a defeat to West Ham.
- In the last five Premier League meetings, Arsenal won four and drew one against Nottingham Forest, scoring multiple goals and maintaining defensive solidity.
- No major injuries reported for Arsenal weakening the squad, and Nottingham Forest also have a mostly healthy squad expected for this fixture.
- Match played at Emirates Stadium favors Arsenal with home crowd support. Time and date align with optimal performance conditions.
- Arsenal aims to consolidate a strong start to the season after a tough Liverpool loss, motivated to dominate at home. Nottingham Forest will seek to exploit counterattack opportunities but face tough opposition.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arsenal: -270, Nottingham Forest: 650, Draw: 380 | Arsenal | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Arsenal -1.5: 104, Nottingham Forest +1.5: -138 | Arsenal -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -146, Under 2.5: 110 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arsenal 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arsenal to win moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and over 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1