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Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Arouca, currently 12th in the Primeira Liga, hosts Casa Pia, who is 8th. Both teams are looking to improve their standings with a crucial win. Given Arouca's home advantage and Casa Pia's slightly higher league position, the match promises to be competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca has shown inconsistency, recently losing to Santa Clara but beating Estrela. Casa Pia has been slightly more consistent, maintaining their mid-table position. Recent performances suggest a close contest.
  • In recent matches, head-to-head statistics show a slight edge to Casa Pia, but Arouca's home advantage could level the field.
  • No significant injury reports are available for either team, which should not influence the match outcome significantly.
  • Weather and crowd support could play a role, but as both teams are accustomed to Portuguese conditions, this should not favor either side significantly.
  • Casa Pia is more motivated to secure a higher league position, but Arouca's need to climb away from potential relegation danger provides strong motivation for them as well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 105, away: 265, draw: 220 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: -0.25, away: 25 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: 2.25, under: 2.25 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia could capitalize on their recent form, but Arouca's home advantage makes them a slight favorite in a close match.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Arouca


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Arouca vs. Casa Pia Prediction

Match Analysis: Arouca vs Casa Pia – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-05-04 Time: 5:00 PM UTC Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal Game Overview FC Arouca, currently 12th in the Primeira Liga, hosts Casa Pia, who is 8th. Both teams are looking to improve their standings with a crucial win. Given Arouca's home advantage […]

Arouca Casa Pia May 4, 2025 Soccer

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Sporting Lisbon vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

This match pits one of the strongest teams in the Primeira Liga, Sporting Lisbon, against a mid-table contender, Gil Vicente. Sporting Lisbon is known for its consistent form and strong home performances, while Gil Vicente has shown resilience on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon has been in good form in Liga Portugal, winning 12 home games at Estádio José Alvalade. Gil Vicente has also been performing well, winning three away games.
  • Historically, Sporting Lisbon has dominated this fixture, winning 24 out of 35 matches with Gil Vicente. The average goals scored in these matches are about 2.86 per game.
  • No specific injury reports mentioned.
  • Both teams are likely to be motivated for different reasons: Sporting for maintaining or improving their league position, and Gil Vicente for securing points that could improve their standing.
  • Sporting Lisbon will be highly motivated to secure a win at home to maintain their strong league position, while Gil Vicente may be looking for an upset to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: -800, Gil Vicente: 1900, Draw: 700 Sporting Lisbon win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -2.25 -108, Gil Vicente: 2.25 -112 Sporting Lisbon to cover -2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: -125, Under 3: 105 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is likely to win given their strong home form and historical dominance over Gil Vicente.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Rio Ave FC vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 4 May 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde, Portugal

Game Overview

Rio Ave (13th) faces CF Estrela Amadora (15th) in a mid-table Primeira Liga clash. Both teams are separated by only two positions, suggesting a closely contested match. Rio Ave has played Estrela once this season, though historical H2H data remains unspecified in available sources[1][4].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rio Ave holds a marginal edge in league positioning (13th vs 15th). Form analysis is unavailable from provided data, but proximity in standings indicates similar seasonal performance[1][4].
  • The teams have met once this season; additional historical H2H data is not provided in the search results[1][4].
  • No injury reports available from search results.
  • Home advantage for Rio Ave at Estadio dos Arcos, a critical factor in closely matched fixtures[1].
  • Both teams likely aim to secure points to avoid relegation scrap, given their positions near the lower mid-table[1][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rio Ave FC: 135 | Draw: 215 | CF Estrela: 200 Rio Ave FC ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Rio Ave FC -0.25 (105) | CF Estrela +25 (-125) Rio Ave FC covers -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-120) | Under 2.25 (100) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rio Ave FC 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rio Ave demonstrates slight superiority via league position and home advantage, but Estrela's underdog status (higher win odds) suggests potential for an upset or tight contest. Expect a low-scoring game given implied probabilities.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Rio Ave FC


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Estoril vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril, Portugal

Game Overview

Estoril Praia faces Benfica in a Primeira Liga match, with Benfica holding a strong position in the league standings. The match is expected to be challenging for Estoril given Benfica's recent performance and team strengths.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica has shown superior form, sitting second in the league, while Estoril ranks ninth. Benfica's offense and defense have been more effective.
  • Historically, Benfica has dominated against Estoril, with notable recent wins.
  • No significant injury reports available, but any missing key players could impact team dynamics.
  • Home advantage might slightly benefit Estoril, but overall, Benfica's strength should prevail.
  • Benfica's motivation to secure top league placement could drive their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica: -575, Estoril: 1200, Draw: 600 Benfica ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Benfica: -2 -115, Estoril: 2 -105 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5: 102, Under 3.5: -122 Over 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is likely to win due to their league position and past performance against Estoril.

Predicted Score: Estoril 1, Benfica 3


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Braga vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

Braga (3rd in Primeira Liga) hosts Santa Clara (6th) in a clash between top-half teams. Braga's higher league position and home advantage make them favorites, while Santa Clara seeks to improve their recent inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga's higher rank (3rd) reflects stronger recent performances. Santa Clara (6th) has shown mixed results, including a 1-1 draw against Rio Ave and a 1-0 loss to Sporting Lisbon in recent matches.
  • Historical H2H data incomplete in sources, but Braga's 6-0 Taca de Portugal victory over Santa Clara in 2021 (though outdated) suggests historical dominance.
  • No injury data available from provided sources.
  • Home advantage for Braga at Estádio Municipal de Braga. No weather data available.
  • Both teams competing for European qualification spots, with Braga having stronger positional incentives.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga -140 | Draw 235 | Santa Clara 440 Braga win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Braga -0.75 (-108) | Santa Clara +75 (-112) Braga -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 (-120) | Under 2 (+100) Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga win (moderate confidence) due to superior league position and home advantage. Expected high-scoring game given attacking quality.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Braga


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SC Farense vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: SC Farense vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de São Luís, Faro

Game Overview

SC Farense hosts Famalicão in a Portuguese Primeira Liga match on May 3, 2025. Given the teams' recent performance and head-to-head history, the match is expected to be closely contested.

Key Factors to Consider

  • SC Farense has struggled this season with 3 wins and 8 draws in 27 matches, while Famalicão has secured 10 wins and 10 draws in the same period, highlighting a significant difference in overall performance.
  • In their last two encounters, SC Farense won once and drew once, indicating competitive matches between the two teams.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support may influence the game, with Famalicão potentially facing tougher conditions away from home.
  • Both teams will be motivated to secure points for different reasons—SC Farense for survival and Famalicão to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: 180, SC Farense: 155, Draw: 210 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Famalicão: 0 100, SC Farense: 0 -120 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the odds and historical data, Famalicão is favored due to their better overall season performance.

Predicted Score: Famalicão 2, SC Farense 1


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Nacional vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

Nacional (13th) hosts Vitória SC (5th) in a Liga Portugal clash. Vitória SC holds a stronger league position and away form, though Nacional has historical H2H success. Nacional struggles defensively (13 losses overall), while Vitória SC demonstrates consistency (9 wins, 11 draws).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional: 7W-5D-13L overall, 6W-2D-4L at home. Vitória SC: 9W-11D-5L overall, 3W-6D-4L away. Vitória SC has superior defensive organization (only 5 losses) compared to Nacional.
  • 11-7-10 in Nacional's favor across 28 meetings (34-36 goals scored). Recent form favors Vitória SC, who won four away games this season[5].
  • No injury data available from provided sources.
  • Estadio da Madeira's home advantage for Nacional (6 home wins) balances Vitória SC's superior squad quality.
  • Vitória SC fights for European qualification, while Nacional battles mid-table security.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional +310, Draw +240, Vitória SC -115 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Nacional +50 (-108), Vitória SC -0.5 (-112) Vitória SC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-125), Under 2.25 (+105) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC moneyline victory due to better organization and away form, though a close match expected. Under 2.25 goals likely given Vitória SC's cautious style.

Predicted Score: 0-1 Vitória SC


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FC Porto vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Porto faces Moreirense in a Primeira Liga match where Porto holds a dominant historical advantage and superior league position. Porto sits 4th with 62 points, while Moreirense ranks 10th with 36 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Porto has shown strong form with 19 wins this season, while Moreirense struggles defensively, conceding 45 goals in 31 matches.
  • Porto has won 24 of the last 33 meetings, including 15 consecutive home wins. The most frequent results are 3-0 victories for Porto.
  • No specific injury data available in provided sources.
  • Porto's home advantage at Estádio do Dragão, where they have a perfect H2H record against Moreirense.
  • Porto is competing for European qualification, while Moreirense has limited stakes beyond mid-table positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Porto -325 | Draw +370 | Moreirense +900 Porto win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Porto -1.5 (+100) | Moreirense +1.5 (-120) Porto covers -1.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.5 (+102) | Under 2.5 (-122) Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto 640%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Porto at 640% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 71.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto to dominate with a high probability of covering the spread and exceeding the goal total.

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Casa Pia vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 29 April 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

The match between Casa Pia and Estoril in the Primeira Liga could provide a competitive encounter. However, it was initially postponed from April 28, 2025, due to a power outage, which might affect team dynamics and preparation. The home advantage could favor Casa Pia, but recent performances by both teams need careful analysis.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has shown mixed results recently, while Estoril has faced challenges in maintaining consistency. Casa Pia's last match was a draw, and Estoril experienced a loss in their previous game against Sporting Braga.
  • In the past, Casa Pia and Estoril have had mixed outcomes. Casa Pia won 2-0 against Estoril in December 2024, but drew 0-0 in April 2024.
  • There is no current detailed information available on injuries for this match.
  • The recent power outage and rescheduling might impact team readiness and morale.
  • Both teams will be motivated to secure points for better standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: 140, Estoril: 225, Draw: 195 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Casa Pia: -0.25 102, Estoril: 25 -122 Casa Pia ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2 -128, Under: 2 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia is slightly favored, given their recent win against Estoril and the home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Casa Pia


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Boavista Porto vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Boavista Porto vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI, Porto

Game Overview

This is a critical Liga Portugal match between Boavista Porto, currently ranked 17th, and league leaders Sporting Lisbon, who are at the top of the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boavista Porto has struggled this season, with a high loss rate at home, while Sporting Lisbon boasts an impressive win record.
  • Sporting Lisbon has historically dominated Boavista, winning 83% of their last six matches.
  • No specific information about key injuries is available for this match.
  • No significant external factors are noted that could impact the match outcome.
  • Sporting Lisbon's motivation to maintain their league lead could give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boavista Porto: 1100, Sporting Lisbon: -460, Draw: 500 Sporting Lisbon win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Boavista Porto: 1.75 -105, Sporting Lisbon: -1.75 -115 Sporting Lisbon covers the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 3 -105, Under: 3 -115 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon is strongly favored to win this match based on past performances and current standings.

Predicted Score: 1-3 to Sporting Lisbon


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