Match Analysis: Angers vs Auxerre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 4:15 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Raymond Kopa
Game Overview
A Ligue 1 match featuring bottom-half teams Angers and Auxerre, both struggling with poor standings and defense this season. Angers is slightly favored playing at home, but Auxerre is battling to escape relegation and could pose a threat.
Key Factors to Consider
- Angers (14th, 10 pts) have a mixed form with 2 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses and a -7 goal difference. Auxerre (18th, 7 pts) is in worse form with only 2 wins, 1 draw, 8 losses and -10 goal difference.
- Historically evenly matched, but recent meetings lean toward low scoring and tight contests, with Angers having a slight edge at home.
- No significant injury reports available to suggest key absences for either side.
- Match played at Angers' home ground which usually provides a small advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal with no disruptions.
- Auxerre urgently needs points to avoid relegation risk, potentially motivating a more defensive and counter-attacking approach, while Angers aims to consolidate their mid-table position.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +155, away: +188, draw: +205 | Angers | ★★★☆☆ 54% |
| Spread | Angers: -125, Auxerre: +105 | Angers 0 spread | ★★★☆☆ 56% |
| Over/under | Over: +102, Under: -122 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Angers 26% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Angers at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Angers to win; Spread: Angers -0; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0
