Match Analysis: Angers vs AS Monaco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers, France
Game Overview
Angers (17th in Ligue 1) host AS Monaco (5th) in a midtable clash with clear contrasts in form and quality. Angers are winless in their last 5 league matches and struggle at home, while Monaco are in solid Ligue 1 form, motivated to push for European places.
Key Factors to Consider
- Angers have managed just 1 home win this season, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at Stade Raymond Kopa in their last 10 home matches. Monaco average 1.2 away goals, also conceding 1.6 in their last 10 on the road, but have shown far greater consistency in picking up results[1][2].
- Monaco have dominated the historical matchup, winning 15 of 23 meetings (5 wins, 3 draws for Angers). In their last 6 meetings at Stade Raymond Kopa, Monaco have won 4, with 2 drawsβincluding a 2-0 win last timeβand Angers have not beaten Monaco at home since 2019[1][2].
- No major injuries reported for either side in recent updatesβassume mostly full squads and healthy key players.
- No major external factors (weather, scheduling, etc.) reported; match odds reflect standard home/away splits.
- Angers are struggling to avoid relegation and desperately need points, but their current form and head-to-head record do not inspire confidence. Monaco are fighting for European qualification and have the quality edge in both attack and defense.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Angers +437 | Monaco -159 | Draw +326 | AS Monaco | β β β β β 76% |
| Spread | Angers +1 -122 | Monaco -1 +102 | AS Monaco -1 | β β β ββ 63% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 -121 | Under 2.75 +101 | Over 2.75 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | AS Monaco 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite Angers' home venue, Monaco's superior form, recent head-to-head dominance, and attacking quality make them clear favorites for all three major markets.
Predicted Score: Angers 0β2 AS Monaco