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Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alverca vs Tondela - Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Centro de Formação do FC Alverca

Game Overview

Alverca and Tondela both come into this match struggling at the bottom of the Portugal Primeira Liga table, each with only 1 point from 4 matches. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities and low scoring records, setting up a tense and close encounter with high likelihood of a low-scoring draw or narrow win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have struggled to gain points and score goals this season, with Alverca sitting 16th and Tondela last at 18th place, each only scoring 2 or 3 goals in 4 games.
  • Recent meetings have often resulted in draws and both teams to score outcomes; last season their two encounters both saw goals from both sides.
  • No significant injury news available indicating key absences; both squads appear near full strength.
  • The match is at Alverca's home ground, which may provide a slight edge, but both teams have shown weak form regardless of venue.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a first win to avoid early relegation zone struggles, likely leading to cautious but competitive play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Home: 148, Away: 193, Draw: 215 Draw ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Alverca 0: -130, Tondela 0: 110 Alverca 0 spread (draw no bet) ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 Under 2.25 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alverca 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1

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Alverca vs. Tondela Prediction

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Tondela – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-12 Time: 7:15 PM UTC Location: Centro de Formação do FC Alverca Game Overview Alverca and Tondela both come into this match struggling at the bottom of the Portugal Primeira Liga table, each with only 1 point from 4 matches. Both sides have defensive vulnerabilities […]

Alverca September 12, 2025 Soccer Tondela

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Estoril vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium

Game Overview

Estoril and Santa Clara are both struggling near the bottom of the Primeira Liga table after three matches. Estoril has two points from three games with two draws and one loss, scoring 5 while conceding 6. Santa Clara has only one point, with two losses and a draw, and no goals scored so far. Both teams are desperate for points in this tightly poised match with implications for early-season momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril shows moderate offensive potential (5 goals in 3 matches) but defensive vulnerabilities. Santa Clara remains without a goal this season and has conceded 4, highlighting attacking inefficiency and defensive issues.
  • Recent meetings favor Estoril, who won the last direct encounter 3-2 and have generally had an edge over Santa Clara in past matchups.
  • No major injury news reported affecting starting lineups significantly for either team.
  • Home advantage for Estoril at António Coimbra da Mota Stadium may favor them slightly. No notable weather or external condition effects reported.
  • Both teams are under pressure to improve their league standing early and will be motivated to avoid another unfavorable result. Estoril's slightly better recent form could add confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Estoril: 172, Santa Clara: 173, Draw: 205 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Estoril 0: -110, Santa Clara 0: -110 Estoril 0 spread (draw no bet on Estoril) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -122, Under 2: 102 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 37%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Rio Ave FC vs. Braga Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rio Ave FC vs Braga – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio dos Arcos, Vila do Conde, Portugal

Game Overview

Rio Ave FC, playing at home, faces a strong Sporting Braga side in a key Primeira Liga fixture. Braga enters as clear favorites based on current form, standings, and historical performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga has shown superior recent form and higher league standing compared to Rio Ave, who struggle for consistency at home this season.
  • Braga has dominated recent meetings with Rio Ave, holding a strong winning record and often controlling the match tempo.
  • Neither side faces major injury concerns affecting their starting XI significantly, maintaining competitive balance.
  • No notable external disruptions such as weather or travel issues expected; normal match conditions apply.
  • Braga is motivated to maintain top position in the league, while Rio Ave aims to secure crucial points to avoid lower-table pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -138, Rio Ave FC: 345, Draw: 285 Braga ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Braga: -0.75 -105, Rio Ave FC: 75 -115 Braga -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread and the match total going under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Santa Clara vs. CF Estrela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs CF Estrela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Sao Miguel

Game Overview

Santa Clara hosts CF Estrela in a crucial Primeira Liga clash with both teams desperate for their first win of the season. Santa Clara seeks redemption after three losses and zero points, while Estrela Amadora has only earned two points from three games. Both teams have shown offensive struggles so far.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has lost their first three matches and failed to score so far this season; their recent home form is weak but marginally better than Estrela, who have managed only two points and have significant scoring issues on the road with under 1.5 goals in almost all away matches.
  • Recent direct confrontations suggest a competitive but low-scoring trend, with no clear dominant side. Historically, both teams tend to score few goals in their encounters.
  • Santa Clara's defender Pedro Jose Pacheco remains out; Estrela Amadora is without banned midfielder Paulo Moreira and likely missing forward Fabio Ronaldo due to injury.
  • Santa Clara recently played a European match (Conference League) possibly causing fatigue but still have home advantage in front of their passionate crowd at Estadio de Sao Miguel.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure their first win of the season to improve standings, with Santa Clara particularly desperate after three consecutive losses and an urgent need to avoid relegation concerns.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara -115, Draw +230, Estrela +345 Santa Clara ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Santa Clara -0.5 (-115), Estrela +50 (-105) Santa Clara -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 (-118), Under 2 (-102) Under 2 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Alverca vs. Benfica Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alverca vs Benfica – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Alverca

Game Overview

Benfica, a dominant Primeira Liga powerhouse, continues their perfect start with a convincing 3-0 win over Tondela, while Alverca struggles to find form in their top-flight return. Benfica’s experienced squad and defensive solidity contrast with Alverca’s defensive vulnerabilities and suspension issues.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is unbeaten with three wins, showing strong attacking and defensive balance. Alverca remains winless and defensively fragile, recently losing key defender Naves to suspension.
  • Historically, Benfica has strongly dominated this fixture, regularly securing wins by multiple goals, with Alverca rarely posing a significant challenge in recent meetings.
  • Alverca misses defender Naves (suspension). Benfica sees the return of key midfielder Florentino from suspension; however, Bah, Bruma, and Manu are still injured.
  • Match played at Alverca’s home ground may provide slight home advantage, but large crowd impact unlikely to offset quality gap. Benfica motivated to maintain 100% start and challenge Sporting’s title hold.
  • Benfica highly motivated to assert dominance early in the season and maintain perfect record. Alverca motivated to improve but faces severe squad limitations and low confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: 900, Benfica: -470, Draw: 600 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Alverca +1.75: +105, Benfica -1.75: -125 Benfica -1.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3: -105, Under 3: -115 Over 3 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to win outright, covering the -1.75 spread, and match to go over 3 total goals.

Predicted Score: 0-3


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Tondela vs. Estoril Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Tondela vs Estoril – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Tondela Home Stadium

Game Overview

Tondela hosts Estoril in a crucial early-season Primeira Liga fixture. Tondela has struggled significantly, remaining pointless with no goals scored so far, while Estoril holds a slight upper hand being positioned a few places above them and showing better form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tondela is bottom of the league with zero points and no goals scored in three matches, highlighting offensive struggles and poor form. Estoril has had mixed performances but clearly shows more resilience and scoring capability.
  • Recent H2H data is limited but Estoril is favored against Tondela historically and given the current form differential, Estoril likely holds an advantage.
  • No major injury information available, indicating both sides have reasonably full squads.
  • Playing at home benefits Tondela, but their poor form likely offsets this advantage. No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve early in the season; Tondela to avoid a disastrous start, Estoril to consolidate mid-table safety.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 195, away: 148, draw: 210 Estoril ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Estoril: -132, Tondela: 111 Estoril (0 spread) ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -102, under: -118 Under 2.25 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Estoril at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estoril to win on the moneyline with Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Sporting Lisbon vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

This Portugal Primeira Liga clash features Sporting Lisbon hosting FC Porto in a highly competitive fixture with both teams demonstrating strong defensive records and consistent recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have scored in 20 consecutive Liga NOS matches and maintained a solid defense, conceding 1 or less in their last 12 outings; FC Porto have kept clean sheets in their last four league games and also boast a strong offensive performance.
  • The last three meetings at this venue finished with under 2.5 goals and closely contested matches; recent H2H trends favor low-scoring, tight games.
  • No major injury concerns noted for either team; both lineups appear near full strength.
  • The match is played at Sporting's home ground in Lisbon, giving them slight home advantage; no unusual external factors impact performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to establish early dominance in the league, adding competitive edge without clear favoritism beyond home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: 108, FC Porto: 235, Draw: 250 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -122, FC Porto: 102 Sporting Lisbon -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, Sporting Lisbon -0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals in the over/under market.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

Famalicão enters this match as clear favorites against AVS Futebol SAD, who have struggled early this season. Famalicão leads the Primeira Liga standings with seven points from three games, unbeaten and displaying solid form. AVS sits near the bottom with just one point and negative goal difference.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has a strong start to the season with 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring multiple goals and conceding few. AVS has recorded 2 losses and 1 draw, with a poor goal differential of -4.
  • Recent form and standings heavily favor Famalicão. Historical direct match data is limited, but current season performance strongly advantage Famalicão.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either side that would materially impact starting lineups.
  • Match at AVS home ground could provide slight home advantage, but Famalicão’s form likely outweighs this factor.
  • Famalicão looks motivated to consolidate their early strong position in the league and extend unbeaten run, while AVS is under pressure to gain points to avoid an early relegation battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão -109, AVS Futebol SAD +315, Draw +230 Famalicão ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread AVS +50 -112, Famalicão -0.5 -108 Famalicão -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 +100, Under 2.25 -120 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Famalicão moneyline to win, with a moderately confident spread bet on them covering the -0.5 goals handicap, and expect over 2.25 goals given Famalicão’s strong attacking form.

Predicted Score: Famalicão 2 – 1 AVS Futebol SAD


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Vitória SC vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal

Game Overview

Vitória SC and Arouca are closely matched around mid-table in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with Vitória SC currently 9th and Arouca 8th. Both teams show similar recent form with moderate scoring but defensive vulnerabilities, making this a competitive fixture at Vitória's home ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC recently scored 11 goals in 5 matches but haven't kept a clean sheet in 5 games, conceding 2.33 goals on average. Arouca scored 2 goals per game but concede more heavily at 3.33 goals on average. Vitória SC has slightly better recent results and home advantage.
  • Historically, Vitória SC leads with 10 wins to Arouca's 4 in 20 encounters; recent matches suggest a balanced dynamic with a 2-2 draw in their last league meeting earlier in 2025. Vitória SC has a slightly higher win ratio head-to-head.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players, implying both squads near full strength.
  • Match takes place at Vitória SC's home stadium, Dom Afonso Henriques, presenting a home advantage. No major external disruptions known.
  • Both teams sit in mid-table and will seek points to improve standings early in the season. Vitória SC, playing at home and with a slightly better form, have marginally stronger motivation to capitalize.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC: -125, Draw: +255, Arouca: +345 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Vitória SC -0.5: -122, Arouca +50: +102 Vitória SC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: +102, Under 2.5: -122 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Casa Pia vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Casa Pia Stadium

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts Nacional in a crucial Primeira Liga match at a home stadium where Casa Pia seeks to build on early season form, while Nacional struggles near the bottom with limited points and poor offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has a slightly better early season form with 3 points in 3 matches, showing inconsistency but home advantage, while Nacional is in 16th place with just 1 point and conceding many goals.
  • Historically, Casa Pia has a slight edge in wins over Nacional, with more recent home success.
  • No major injury reports available for either side; squads expected near full strength.
  • Match played at Casa Pia's home ground, giving them an advantage; early season motivation to gain points is high for both teams but more urgent for struggling Nacional.
  • Casa Pia motivated to consolidate mid-table positioning; Nacional under pressure to escape relegation zone, increasing their urgency but possibly affecting composure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia +126, Nacional +235, Draw +210 Casa Pia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Casa Pia -0.25 (-108), Nacional +25 (-112) Casa Pia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 (102), Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win on the moneyline, with an expectation of a low-scoring game trending under 2.25 goals, and Casa Pia to cover the -0.25 spread.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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