Match Analysis: Almere City vs Sparta Rotterdam – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Yanmar Stadion, Almere, Netherlands
Game Overview
Almere City FC (17th) hosts Sparta Rotterdam (11th) in an Eredivisie clash. Both teams have struggled for consistency, but recent H2H suggests high-scoring, competitive matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sparta Rotterdam holds a higher league position (11th) compared to Almere City (17th), suggesting better form and stability. However, Almere City has scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 H2H matches, showing offensive strength in this fixture.
- 8 of the last 9 H2H matches have seen over 2.5 goals. Sparta Rotterdam have scored at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 away matches vs Almere City. Almere City have scored at least 2 goals in their last 3 H2H matches against Sparta.
- Sparta Rotterdam will be missing Carel Eiting for this match.
- No significant external factors reported.
- Almere City's relegation concerns may boost motivation, while Sparta could be aiming to finish mid-table. Expect both teams to fight for points.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Almere City: 175, Sparta Rotterdam: 140, Draw: 230 | Sparta Rotterdam (away win or draw more likely) | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Almere City: 0 105, Sparta Rotterdam: 0 -125 | Sparta Rotterdam +0 (away pick or draw) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over: 2.75 -108, Under: 2.75 -112 | Over 2.75 Goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sparta Rotterdam -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 25% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Expect a high-scoring, closely-matched game. Sparta Rotterdam's slightly better league position and recent away form against Almere City give them a small edge, but Almere City's recent H2H goal-scoring record makes them dangerous. Goals expected from both sides.
Predicted Score: Almere City 1 – 2 Sparta Rotterdam