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Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 12:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain

Game Overview

Alavés (17th in La Liga) hosts Atlético Madrid (3rd) in a match where Atlético seeks a season sweep. Alavés aims to avoid relegation pressures, while Atlético fights for Champions League positioning.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético has stronger offensive metrics (53 goals scored vs. Alavés' 35) and defensive stability (25 goals conceded vs. 45)
  • Atlético leads recent encounters, including a prior victory this season
  • No specific injury data provided in sources
  • Alavés' home advantage countered by Atlético's superior squad quality
  • Atlético's UCL qualification push vs. Alavés' relegation battle urgency

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alavés: +270, Atlético: +115, Draw: +220 Atlético Madrid High (45.8% modeled probability vs. 26.5% Alavés/27.8% draw)
Spread Alavés +25 (-100), Atlético -0.25 (-120) Atlético Madrid -0.25 Moderate (covers if they win outright)
Over/under Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (+100) Under 2 goals Medium (defensive focus likely)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid moneyline win (45.8% probability per predictive models) in a low-scoring affair

Predicted Score: 0-1 Atlético Madrid


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Alavés vs. Atlético Madrid Prediction

Match Analysis: Alavés vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction Match Details Date: May 3, 2025 Time: 12:00 PM UTC Location: Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz, Spain Game Overview Alavés (17th in La Liga) hosts Atlético Madrid (3rd) in a match where Atlético seeks a season sweep. Alavés aims to avoid relegation pressures, while Atlético fights for Champions […]

Alavés atlético madrid May 3, 2025 Soccer

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Valladolid vs. Barcelona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Valladolid vs Barcelona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: José Zorrilla, Valladolid, Spain

Game Overview

Barcelona (1st in La Liga) face already-relegated Real Valladolid (20th) in a match where the Catalans aim to solidify their title push, while Valladolid play for pride.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Barcelona dominates La Liga with a strong attack/defense record. Valladolid has the league's worst defense (81 conceded) and attack (24 goals scored), including a 7-game losing streak[5].
  • Barcelona won the reverse fixture 7-0 this season, avenging a 3-1 loss in 2022-23[5].
  • No specific injury data provided but likely minimal impact on Barcelona's rotated squad against weakened opposition.
  • Valladolid's confirmed relegation reduces home-field pressure, while Barcelona benefits from title-chasing urgency.
  • Barcelona requires points to maintain their 4-point lead over Real Madrid. Valladolid's players audition for future roles post-relegation[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Barcelona -625 | Valladolid +1200 | Draw +800 Barcelona Moneyline ★★★★★ 92%
Spread Barcelona -2.25 (-120) Barcelona covers -2.25 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 4 (-112) | Under 4 (-108) Over 4 Goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Barcelona -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 4 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Barcelona will dominate possession and exploit Valladolid's porous defense. Expect a high-scoring match favoring Barça's attacking quality.

Predicted Score: 0-4 (Barcelona)


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Las Palmas vs. Valencia Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Las Palmas vs Valencia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria

Game Overview

Las Palmas (18th) hosts Valencia (14th) in a critical La Liga clash. Both teams are separated by a narrow margin in the lower-mid table, with Las Palmas needing points to escape relegation danger and Valencia aiming to secure safety.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Las Palmas has conceded 53 goals (1.61 per game) and kept 4 clean sheets. Valencia's defensive vulnerabilities are evident but their attacking threat is marginally higher.
  • No detailed head-to-head current-season stats provided, though previous encounters suggest closely contested matches.
  • No specific injury reports available from the provided data.
  • Home advantage for Las Palmas at Estadio de Gran Canaria could influence the match outcome.
  • Las Palmas faces higher stakes due to their 18th-place standing, potentially increasing their urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Las Palmas: +160, Valencia: +170, Draw: +240 Las Palmas (narrow edge) Moderate (36.7% probability)
Spread Las Palmas: 0 (-112), Valencia: 0 (-108) Push (even spread) Low (no clear spread advantage)
Over/under Over 2.5 (+100), Under 2.5 (-120) Under 2.5 goals High (54% probability)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Las Palmas -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Las Palmas holds a slight edge (36.7% win probability) per simulation models, but Valencia (36.3%) remains nearly even. The match is highly likely to be low-scoring, with a 54% probability for Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0 (Las Palmas) or 1-1 (Draw)


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Villarreal vs. CA Osasuna Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs CA Osasuna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 3 May 2025
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

This La Liga match between Villarreal and CA Osasuna is set for May 3, 2025. Villarreal has a strong home advantage, while Osasuna looks to improve its away form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal has shown solid form in recent matches but lost their last game. Osasuna has been inconsistent yet resilient.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor Villarreal, with three wins and two draws against Osasuna in their last five matches.
  • No major injuries reported for key players at the time of analysis.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support may favor Villarreal.
  • Both teams have motivation to win, though Villarreal might have more pressure at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -180 Villarreal, 440 Osasuna, 350 Draw Villarreal High
Spread -1 Villarreal -110, +1 Osasuna -110 Villarreal Medium
Over/under Over 2.75 -125, Under 2.75 105 Over Low

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win with a likelihood of over 55%.

Predicted Score: Villarreal 2, Osasuna 0


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Rayo Vallecano vs. Getafe Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Rayo Vallecano vs Getafe – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-02
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

Game Overview

Rayo Vallecano hosts Getafe in a crucial match for both teams as they sit mid-table in La Liga, with Rayo at 11th and Getafe at 12th. A win could provide necessary breathing room in the late-season struggle to avoid relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rayo Vallecano and Getafe have shown inconsistency in recent matches, with Rayo having more draws and Getafe struggling with consecutive losses before a recent win.
  • The teams previously drew 0-0 in their last La Liga encounter this season.
  • No specific injury reports for key players were found.
  • The match takes place in Madrid, which may slightly favor Rayo Vallecano due to home advantage.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to gain points and secure their positions in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano: 135, Draw: 200, Getafe: 240 Rayo Vallecano or Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Rayo Vallecano: -0.25 100, Getafe: 25 -120 Rayo Vallecano -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: -118, Under: -102 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rayo Vallecano 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rayo Vallecano is favored to win due to home advantage and slightly better recent form, but a draw is also plausible given the teams' past head-to-head result.

Predicted Score: 1-0 or 1-1


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Villarreal vs. Espanyol Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Villarreal vs Espanyol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 27 Apr 2025
  • Time: 2:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio de la Ceramica, Villarreal, Spain

Game Overview

Villarreal (5th, 52 PTS) faces Espanyol (15th, 39 PTS) in a LaLiga clash. Villarreal recently defeated Rayo Vallecano 1-0, while Espanyol beat Deportivo Alaves 1-0. Villarreal won the reverse fixture 2-1 on September 26, 2024, with Ayoze Perez scoring twice.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Villarreal demonstrates stronger form (14-10-8) with consistent top-half results, while Espanyol (10-9-13) struggles defensively, conceding frequently in away games.
  • Villarreal won the last H2H 2-1, showcasing attacking dominance (14 shots vs. 9 for Espanyol). Perez remains a critical threat.
  • Limited injury data from sources, but recent lineups show key players (e.g., Perez for Villarreal, Calero for Espanyol) are active.
  • Villarreal's home advantage at Estadio de la Ceramica provides an edge. No weather disruptions reported.
  • Villarreal seeks European qualification, while Espanyol fights to avoid relegation, adding pressure to both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Villarreal -215 | Espanyol +525 | Draw +370 Villarreal victory ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Villarreal -1.25 (+102) | Espanyol +1.25 (-122) Villarreal covers -1.25 spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-108) | Under 2.75 (-112) Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Villarreal -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Villarreal to win narrowly, leveraging home advantage and superior attacking quality. Espanyol’s defensive vulnerabilities may concede 1-2 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Villarreal


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Atlético Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atlético Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid, Spain

Game Overview

Atlético Madrid hosts Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga match at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in Madrid. Atlético Madrid enter as clear favorites based on form, home advantage, and betting odds, while Rayo Vallecano is seen as the underdog. Both teams have had recent competitive encounters, including a 1-1 draw in the last away fixture, adding intrigue to this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlético Madrid has displayed solid form at home, leveraging strong defensive organization and efficient attack. Rayo Vallecano, although competitive, have struggled to secure wins against top teams and face difficulties scoring away.
  • The recent head to head includes a 1-1 draw at Rayo Vallecano's stadium and a narrow 2-1 victory for Atlético Madrid at home, showing close matches but slight edge to Atlético on home turf.
  • No specific injury information is provided in the current data, so the squads are presumed near full strength with standard rotation.
  • Playing in Madrid affords Atlético Madrid strong home support and familiarity with the pitch environment. No unusual external circumstances are reported.
  • Atlético Madrid likely have higher motivation to secure points to maintain or improve their league standing, while Rayo Vallecano may focus on defensive resilience and counter-attacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlético Madrid: -185, Rayo Vallecano: 500, Draw: 320 Atlético Madrid ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Atlético Madrid: -1 -108, Rayo Vallecano: +1 -112 Atlético Madrid -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: 105, Under 2.5: -125 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Madrid -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlético Madrid are predicted to win this match, leveraging their home advantage, superior form, and tactical discipline. A competitive but controlled game is expected with Atlético Madrid managing a narrow victory.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Real Betis vs. Valladolid Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Real Betis vs Valladolid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín

Game Overview

Real Betis hosts Real Valladolid in a LaLiga match. Betis is favored, reflecting their recent performance and head-to-head history.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Real Betis generally performs better at home, while Valladolid has struggled away from home.
  • Betis won 2-1 against Valladolid in their last meeting on February 18, 2023, but lost 1-0 on January 11, 2025.
  • Latest injury reports for both teams are not detailed, but typically injuries can significantly impact team performance.
  • Home advantage typically benefits Real Betis, and the crowd can pressure Valladolid.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Betis may have more to gain in terms of league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -550 for Betis, +1200 for Valladolid, +625 for Draw Betis win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -2 for Betis -108, 2 for Valladolid -112 Betis covers -2 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 3.25 +100, Under 3.25 -120 Under 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Real Betis 784%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Real Betis at 784% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 65.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Real Betis is likely to win, given their strong position and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-0 Betis


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CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CA Osasuna vs Sevilla – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 24, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona

Game Overview

This La Liga match pits CA Osasuna against Sevilla at Estadio El Sadar. Osasuna has shown resilience at home, while Sevilla has struggled to win consistently on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Osasuna has been decent at home, while Sevilla has not impressed much away from home, leading to a relatively balanced odds setup.
  • Recent head-to-head matches between the two teams have often resulted in draws, with the last five encounters seeing two wins for Osasuna and three draws [4][5].
  • No significant injury reports are available that would notably impact this match.
  • Fan support could play a role as Osasuna benefits from playing at home, which may boost their morale.
  • Both teams will be motivated to secure points as the season draws to a close.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Osasuna 145, Sevilla 210, Draw 210 Osasuna has a slight edge due to home advantage. 60% Osasuna, 30% Draw, 10% Sevilla
Spread Osasuna -0.25 111, Sevilla 25 -132 Osasuna might cover the spread due to being at home. ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.25 105, Under 2.25 -125 The game might see fewer goals due to both teams' cautious approach. ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CA Osasuna -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the recent trends and team dynamics, Osasuna has a slight edge to win, but the game could still end in a draw.

Predicted Score: 1-1 draw or a slight Osasuna win, e.g., 2-1.


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Leganés vs. Girona Prediction La Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Leganés vs Girona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque

Game Overview

A critical La Liga clash between relegation-threatened Leganés (19th) and mid-table Girona (16th) at a tense Estadio Municipal de Butarque. The match could significantly influence Leganés' survival hopes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams show defensive vulnerabilities – Leganés with 19th-place defensive record, Girona conceding 50+ goals this season. The 36%-36%-28% win/draw probabilities suggest near-even parity.
  • No detailed historical records available in provided data. This season includes at least one previous encounter (Sofascore shows 1 match played this season).
  • No injury reports available in provided sources. Monitor pre-match lineups.
  • High-pressure environment for Leganés needing home advantage. Timezone conversion shows 1:00 PM ET/10:00 AM PT for U.S. viewers.
  • Leganés fighting relegation vs Girona's mid-table security creates asymmetric pressure dynamics.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Leganés +170 | Draw +215 | Girona +175 Slight edge to Girona (36.2%) but value in draw market Medium (65%)
Spread PK Handicap: Leganés -112 | Girona -108 PK handicap shows bookmakers expecting tight match High (75%)
Over/under O/U 2.25 | Over -105 | Under -115 Under 2.25 favored (-115) aligns with relegation-pressure matches Medium-High (70%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Girona -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

High probability of draw (27.7% per Dimers) with narrow win margins for either side. Value exists in draw odds at +215.

Predicted Score: 1-1 Draw


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