Match Analysis: Ajax vs FC Zwolle – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: Johan Cruijff Arena
Game Overview
Ajax, currently 5th with an unbeaten run in the league so far, faces PEC Zwolle who are 7th and in good recent form. Ajax is strong at home, aiming to maintain their unbeaten streak, while PEC Zwolle has shown resilience with six unbeaten games recently and a significant away win in their last match.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ajax has 2 wins and 2 draws this season, unbeaten in 33 of their last 36 Eredivisie matches. PEC Zwolle is unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 matches and recently won 3-0 away at Almere City FC.
- Historically, Ajax holds the dominant record over Zwolle with numerous wins and very few losses, showing consistent superiority especially at home.
- No critical injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups significantly before the match.
- Home advantage for Ajax at the Johan Cruijff Arena, known for strong fan support and intimidating atmosphere.
- Ajax aims to continue their unbeaten start and secure a higher table position; Zwolle motivated by current form to cause an upset and climb in rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ajax: -410, FC Zwolle: 875, Draw: 525 | Ajax | β β β β β 82% | 
| Spread | Ajax -1.75: -112, FC Zwolle +1.75: -108 | Ajax -1.75 | β β β β β 75% | 
| Over/under | Over 3.25: -112, Under 3.25: -108 | Over 3.25 | β β β ββ 68% | 
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick | 
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ajax -5% | 
| Spread | N/A | 
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 17% | 
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ajax to win the match with over 2.5 total goals scored.
Predicted Score: 3-1
 
    