Match Analysis: 1. FC Köln vs SC Freiburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-31
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Game Overview
Bundesliga matchup between home side 1. FC Köln and SC Freiburg, both teams evenly matched with close recent form and balanced odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Köln is modestly in form with 1-0 in last five games and recently performing well against the spread, especially on the road. Freiburg shows competitive results but less data available on recent form.
- Recent H2H data limited; Köln has slight edge with recent 1-0 wins indicating tight defensive matches.
- No significant injury reports available for either side prior to match, with Köln bolstered by recent signing Rav van den Berg adding defensive stability.
- Match being played at Köln’s home ground increases their advantage. Public betting favors Köln at 60%, indicating confidence from the market.
- Both teams likely motivated to gain early season points; Köln may have slight edge due to home advantage and recent defensive solidity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 161 | 1. FC Köln | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | 0 -115 | 1. FC Köln -0 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 100 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | 1. FC Köln 44% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: 1. FC Köln at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on 1. FC Köln moneyline win, taking advantage of home ground and current form.
Predicted Score: 2-1