Match Analysis: 1. FC Köln vs Hamburger SV – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-02
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: RheinEnergieStadion
Game Overview
A Bundesliga clash where 1. FC Köln, positioned 8th with modest home advantage, hosts Hamburger SV, placed 13th and struggling on the road. Both teams show offensive capability but defensive vulnerabilities, setting the stage for a competitive match with possible goals on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- 1. FC Köln has a home record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 10, showing resilience but inconsistent finishing. Hamburger SV have a weaker away record with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, often scoring but also conceding multiple goals away.
- Recent meetings favor close margins; last season Hamburg won 1-0 at home, but Köln’s home advantage and attacking trio historically create pressure. Both sides have traded narrow results.
- No significant injury reports have emerged affecting key attackers or midfielders for either team, implying both squads likely near full strength.
- The game is at Köln’s home ground RheinEnergieStadion, providing them a motivational boost. Weather and scheduling appear normal with no extraordinary external disruptions.
- Köln aims to consolidate mid-table positioning and push for European spots, while Hamburger SV look to avoid slipping further towards the relegation zone, adding urgency to their attack despite away challenges.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: 112, away: 230, draw: 260 | 1. FC Köln | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | home: -118, away: -102 | 1. FC Köln -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
| Over/under | over: 100, under: -120 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | 1. FC Köln 17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: 1. FC Köln at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
1. FC Köln to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.25 spread, and the match to go over 3 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1