Match Analysis: 1. FC Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne, Germany
Game Overview
The Bundesliga Round 11 fixture features 1. FC Köln hosting Eintracht Frankfurt at RheinEnergieStadion. Köln is positioned just below Frankfurt in the table by 3 points but has demonstrated solid recent home form, including wins against teams like Hamburger SV and a draw with Augsburg. Frankfurt has slightly better table positioning and recent success, including a narrow win against Mainz, indicating a competitive matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- 1. FC Köln has a mixed recent form with 2 wins, 2 losses, and a draw in their last five matches; they tend to perform strongly at home. Eintracht Frankfurt shows more stable form and better league standing, often collecting points steadily. Köln has drawn at halftime but won full time in their last three home matches against Frankfurt, suggesting strong second-half performances.
- Recent head-to-head results favor 1. FC Köln with notable victories: 2-0 in February 2024 and 3-0 in February 2023. Frankfurt managed a 1-1 draw in September 2023 and August 2022, indicating a competitive rivalry but a slight edge historically to Köln at home.
- Oscar Højlund of 1. FC Köln is out with a thigh injury until late November 2025, potentially impacting midfield strength. No major injury reports noted for Eintracht Frankfurt in the current data.
- Match played at Köln's home ground provides a home advantage. Weather or other external disruptions are not indicated. Motivation levels should be high as both teams are closely placed and motivated to gain points in a tight Bundesliga race.
- Köln aims to capitalize on home form to close the points gap with Frankfurt, while Frankfurt looks to maintain momentum and a higher league position. The competitive history adds to both teams' motivation to assert dominance in this fixture.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 1_FC_Köln: 2.00, Eintracht_Frankfurt: 1.20, Draw: 2.70 | 1. FC Köln to win | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Spread | 1_FC_Köln: -0.25 @ -112, Eintracht_Frankfurt: +25 @ -108 | Eintracht Frankfurt -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 3.25 @ 1.02, Under: 3.25 @ -1.22 | Over 3.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Eintracht Frankfurt -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match with a slight advantage to 1. FC Köln due to historical home dominance and recent comeback capabilities. Expect a narrow home victory or a draw, with potential for goals from both sides given their attacking profiles.
Predicted Score: 2-2