Match Analysis: 1. FC Köln vs Augsburg – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Game Overview
1. FC Köln hosts Augsburg in a Bundesliga match where Köln shows slightly better form and home advantage, while Augsburg struggles defensively and inconsistently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Köln is 2-2 in last 5 games with a 3-2-1 overall record this season and unbeaten in five of their last six home Bundesliga matches. Augsburg has lost four of their last five games but recently secured a win against Wolfsburg, indicating inconsistency.
- Recent head-to-head trends favor Köln as they tend to capitalize on Augsburg’s defensive lapses, with predictions and stats broadly supporting a home win.
- No specific major injuries reported for Köln; Augsburg has some injury concerns but no critically impacting absences noted.
- Home advantage strongly favors Köln at RheinEnergieStadion, with favorable crowd support and familiar conditions.
- Köln aims to build on recent home performances, enhance their position in the league, and exploit Augsburg’s defensive vulnerabilities; Augsburg motivated but hindered by inconsistent results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +100, away: +255, draw: +296 | Home (1. FC Köln) win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | home_minus_50: +100, away_plus_50: -120 | 1. FC Köln -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 63% |
Over/under | over_3: -107, under_3: -113 | Over 3 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | 1. FC Köln 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: 1. FC Köln at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Köln to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with the total goals likely to go over 3.
Predicted Score: 3-1