Match Analysis: Napoli vs Como – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Game Overview
Napoli, league leaders with strong recent form and home advantage, face newly promoted Como, who have shown offensive potential but inconsistent defense.
Key Factors to Consider
- Napoli has won five of their last six games, averaging 2.67 goals per game. Como scored 8 goals in their last three matches but conceded 6, revealing a leaky defense.
- Napoli won four of the last five home meetings, but Como won the previous meeting 2-1 away, indicating Como can challenge but Napoli dominate at home.
- No significant injuries reported for either side affecting key players ahead of the match.
- Napoli hosts at their home stadium with strong fan support; Como travel after a physically demanding recent schedule.
- Napoli aims to consolidate their top Serie A position, highly motivated. Como seek points to avoid relegation pressures but are underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Napoli: -111, Como: 360, Draw: 220 | Napoli | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Napoli -0.5: -112, Como +50: -108 | Napoli -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Napoli 24% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Napoli at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Napoli to win on the moneyline with under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 2-0