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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-30
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Game Overview

This NRL match pits the St George Illawarra Dragons against the Newcastle Knights. The Dragons are favored, with odds indicating a higher probability of winning. The game is expected to be competitive, given the spread and over/under odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown mixed performances in the current season. The Dragons have been consistent at home, while the Knights have struggled away from their home ground.
  • Historically, the head-to-head matches have been closely contested, with both teams having their share of wins.
  • Injuries could play a crucial role in this match, as missing key players can significantly impact team performance.
  • External factors such as weather conditions and crowd support might influence the game, though specific details are not available.
  • Motivation levels are high for both teams, as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -186 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 159 for Newcastle Knights, 2200 for a draw St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread -5.5 for St George Illawarra Dragons, 5.5 for Newcastle Knights St George Illawarra Dragons to cover ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under 44.5 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: St George Illawarra Dragons at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the current odds and team performance, the St George Illawarra Dragons are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Newcastle Knights 18


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Sydney Roosters vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters will host the Canberra Raiders at Allianz Stadium in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL season. The Raiders currently sit 2nd on the ladder and the Roosters 11th, making this a crucial clash for both teams’ season aspirations. The Raiders are coming off a tough but controlled win against the Warriors in wet conditions while the Roosters upset the Sharks with a comprehensive 42-16 victory despite missing five Origin players. Both teams have their Origin stars returning, aiming to boost their chances in this important fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have shown strong form recently, managing a disciplined 16-10 win against the Warriors in difficult conditions. The Roosters demonstrated their squad depth and attacking potency with a 42-16 win over the Sharks, overcoming absences due to Origin duties. Both teams appear to be recovering well from representative matches, suggesting a competitive encounter.
  • Their last meeting at Allianz Stadium in Round 26, 2025, saw the Raiders narrowly defeat the Roosters 14-12. Historically, matches between these teams are closely contested. The Roosters have scored first in their last nine games, which could be pivotal in setting the tone for this match.
  • The Roosters have several players backing up after Origin duties: Collins, Leniu, Watson, Toia, and Crichton. Tom Starling from the Raiders is suspended for this match, with Owen Pattie stepping in at hooker. Danny Levi will debut off the bench for the Raiders this season, and Hudson Young is expected to start in the second row, adding forward strength.
  • The match will be played at Allianz Stadium with potential wet weather, which previously challenged the Raiders but they managed well. Both teams have home and travel considerations, with Canberra traveling from the Nation’s Capital. The game will be broadcast live on Fox League, Kayo, and WatchNRL for overseas fans.
  • The Raiders are motivated to maintain their high ladder position and continue their winning streak after recent tough matches. The Roosters aim to capitalize on home advantage and improve their standing after a recent morale-boosting upset. Milestone motivation is present as Raiders’ Josh Papalii will equal the club appearance record, which could inspire his team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -114, Sydney Roosters: -105, Draw: 1800 Canberra Raiders ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -1.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: +1.5 -120 Canberra Raiders -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given their current form, ladder position, and recent head-to-head results, the Canberra Raiders have a slight edge over the Sydney Roosters. The Raiders’ defensive discipline in wet conditions and key inclusions like Hudson Young strengthen their chances, though the Roosters’ home advantage and attacking impetus cannot be underestimated. Expect a tightly contested match with the Raiders predicted to win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 18 – Sydney Roosters 16


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Penrith Panthers vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers face Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL Round 13 clash at CommBank Stadium. Despite their recent struggles, the Panthers have a strong recent record against the Eels, having won 4 of the last 6 matchups. The Eels are struggling defensively, sitting 16th for points conceded, while the Panthers are 12th. Recent matches between these sides have trended high-scoring, with the over hitting in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith, despite being off their premiership form, have shown glimpses of quality against lesser teams and historically perform well against Parramatta. Parramatta are struggling with their defense, ranking last in the competition for points against. Penrith's defense is also below par (12th), indicating both teams might leak points[5].
  • Penrith have won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Parramatta, suggesting a psychological edge in this fixture[5].
  • No major injury updates that would significantly sway the game result available at this time.
  • State of Origin may impact player availability and motivation, but both teams currently have representative players potentially returning to boost their sides[1].
  • Penrith are under pressure to turn their season around as four-time reigning premiers. Parramatta are desperate to move off the bottom of the ladder, but their recent form is concerning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 148, Penrith Panthers: -176, Draw: 2100 Penrith Panthers win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Parramatta Eels: 4.5 -115, Penrith Panthers: -4.5 -115 Penrith Panthers cover (-4.5) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -115, Under: 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are favored to win, but not without a fight. The value is in backing Penrith, especially given their strong recent record against Parramatta and potential for high scoring. The Eels have some attacking threat, but their poor defense is a major liability.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – Parramatta Eels 18


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium (Stadium Australia)

Game Overview

The Round 13 NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and New Zealand Warriors is set for June 1, 2025, at Accor Stadium. South Sydney enters the game seeking a third consecutive win after a bye and recent victories against Brisbane Broncos and Wests Tigers. Historically, South Sydney has dominated head-to-head encounters at this venue with eight wins out of the last nine meetings, though the Warriors claimed a heavy 30-point victory in their most recent meeting here. The Warriors come into the game after a five-match winning streak was snapped by Canberra Raiders, suffering their first home defeat of the season. Despite sitting third on the ladder, the Warriors have a negative points differential, which could be a vulnerability in this crucial clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • South Sydney has been strong recently with an 80% win rate and four wins in the last five head-to-head clashes against the Warriors. The Warriors showed solid form with a five-match winning streak before their recent loss but have inconsistencies related to points differential and recent home defeat.
  • In 41 matches between the two clubs, South Sydney leads narrowly with 21 wins to the Warriors' 20. Recently, South Sydney has dominated, winning eight of the last nine meetings at Accor Stadium. The last match at this venue was a significant 30-point win for the Warriors.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team, with the Warriors fielding a full-strength team for the first time in recent matches, suggesting both teams should be at near full capacity.
  • The match is played at Accor Stadium, a home advantage for South Sydney. Weather and other external conditions are typical for the location and time of year, with no major known disruptions.
  • South Sydney is motivated to continue their winning streak and extend dominance over the Warriors at home. The Warriors are motivated to bounce back after their first home loss and improve their points differential to strengthen their position in the top three.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -141, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 122, Draw: 1900 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -1.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +1.5 -120 New Zealand Warriors -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Over 45.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite South Sydney's strong home record and recent form, advanced predictive analytics models and betting market sentiment favor New Zealand Warriors to win this match by approximately 8 points, reflecting a slight edge in confidence for the away team.

Predicted Score: New Zealand Warriors 24 – 16 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Brisbane Broncos Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Brisbane Broncos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are set to face the Brisbane Broncos in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL season. The Broncos are favored to win with current odds reflecting a strong chance of victory. Key factors include team performance, head-to-head statistics, injuries, external factors like weather or suspensions, and team motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Broncos have shown a strong performance recently, while the Sea Eagles face challenges without key players.
  • Historical data shows varied results between the two teams, but recent form favors the Broncos.
  • The Sea Eagles have faced significant injury issues, which may impact their team dynamics.
  • State of Origin selections and recent suspensions could influence team lineups.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win, but the Broncos might have an edge due to their current form and team depth.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -139, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 122, Draw: 2100 Brisbane Broncos ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -2.5 -110, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 2.5 -120 Brisbane Broncos ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brisbane Broncos at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Brisbane Broncos are predicted to win based on their recent form and odds.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 22, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 20


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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Game Overview

North Queensland Cowboys host Wests Tigers in Round 13 of the 2025 NRL Premiership. The Cowboys are favorites at home, where they have historically performed strongly, while Wests Tigers have struggled for consistency and away results. Both teams have crucial motivation: the Cowboys to maintain playoff contention, the Tigers to avoid bottom-table finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cowboys have shown improved form with solid wins and narrow losses, while the Tigers' results have been inconsistent with a string of defeats interspersed with occasional upsets. The Cowboys' home record adds further weight to their favor.
  • Cowboys have a positive recent head-to-head record against the Tigers, especially at home. Tigers have pulled off occasional upsets, but Cowboys are dominant more often than not in these matchups[2][3].
  • No major injury crises reported for either team at the time of writing. Minor injuries or late withdrawals may influence bench strength but not the overall outlook.
  • Home crowd, travel for the Tigers (long trip from Sydney to Townsville), and good weather forecasted, all favor the Cowboys.
  • Cowboys are driven to maintain a finals push; Tigers must fight to avoid the wooden spoon, which can sometimes inspire strong performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cowboys: -280, Tigers: 220, Draw: 2200 Cowboys win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Cowboys -8.5 (-115), Tigers +8.5 (-115) Cowboys cover -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 49.5 (-115), Under 49.5 (-115) Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline North Queensland Cowboys 1510%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: North Queensland Cowboys at 1510% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 68.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

North Queensland Cowboys are expected to win, likely covering the spread, with a high probability of a high-scoring game. However, Tigers can be unpredictable and may keep it closer than expected if their defense holds.

Predicted Score: Cowboys 32 – Tigers 18


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans face the Melbourne Storm in a Round 13 NRL match. The Titans are looking to upset the favored Storm, who have a strong winning probability according to bookmakers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm are generally more consistent and have a stronger team record, but the Titans have shown potential in recent games.
  • The Storm have historically performed better against the Titans, but recent matches have been competitive.
  • No significant injury updates are available, but the Titans might be at a disadvantage due to the Storm's deeper roster.
  • The match is at Cbus Super Stadium, which might give the Titans a slight home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Storm have more at stake in terms of their season standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: 285, Melbourne Storm: -360 Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread Gold Coast Titans: 10.5 -110, Melbourne Storm: -10.5 -120 Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -145, Under: 48.5 110 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

The Melbourne Storm are likely to win, given their strong form and team depth, but the Titans could make it a close match.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26, Gold Coast Titans 20


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium, Auckland, NZ

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors will host the Canberra Raiders in Round 12 of the NRL 2025 season at Go Media Stadium in Auckland. Both teams have displayed varying form in the season, with the Warriors showing stronger winning probabilities in recent analytics. This match is expected to be competitive, testing the Raiders' resilience away from home against the Warriors' home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Warriors have recently demonstrated robust performance at home, with predictive analytics suggesting a 66% chance of victory over the Raiders based on simulations. The Raiders have been competitive but slightly less consistent in away games, impacting their win expectancy.
  • Historically, the Warriors have a slight edge over the Raiders in recent encounters. Previous matches in the 2025 season have seen the Warriors winning key games, including Round 1 at GIO Stadium Canberra where models strongly favored the Warriors.
  • No explicit recent injury reports found for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both squads could field near full strength lineups.
  • The match will be played at the Warriors' home ground in Auckland, providing a home-field advantage. Weather or other environmental conditions have not been reported to significantly influence game outcomes.
  • As a mid-season clash, motivation is expected to be high for both teams aiming to secure vital points for ladder positioning. The Warriors will seek to capitalize on their home advantage, while the Raiders aim to upset the hosts to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors: -130, Canberra Raiders: 116, Draw: 2000 New Zealand Warriors ★★★☆☆ 66%
Spread New Zealand Warriors: -1.5 -120, Canberra Raiders: +1.5 -110 New Zealand Warriors to cover -1.5 points ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New Zealand Warriors to win, leveraging their stronger home form and recent statistical dominance over the Raiders.

Predicted Score: Warriors 24 – Raiders 18


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Sydney Roosters vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at Industree Group Stadium in Gosford, with both teams eager to assert dominance in this Round 12 NRL clash. The match is marked by the absence of key Roosters players due to State of Origin duties and injury, forcing the team to rely on younger players. Despite this, the Roosters have a strong recent head-to-head record against the Sharks and have won their last five matches at this venue this decade. The Sharks come in as strong favourites based on recent form and bookmaker odds, especially after a recent emphatic 44-12 victory over the Roosters on their home ground. This match is expected to be competitive with the Sharks seen as the likely winners but with value opportunities on the Roosters given the market's underestimation of their chances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters are dealing with significant player absences including Angus Crichton, Connor Watson, Spencer Leniu, Robert Toia, Lindsay Collins (all on representative duty), and injured prop Naufahu Whyte. They showed resilience in a close loss to the Bulldogs last round. The Sharks have posted dominant recent victories, including a big 44-12 win against the Roosters earlier this season, indicating strong attacking form.
  • The Roosters hold a strong recent head-to-head advantage with eight wins in the last ten meetings against the Sharks. However, the Sharks convincingly won the latest clash by a large margin, demonstrating that they can overcome past trends.
  • Roosters missing six top-tier players due to State of Origin and one key injury – Naufahu Whyte. Sharks appear to have a full-strength squad with no significant injuries reported.
  • Playing at Gosford’s Industree Group Stadium, where the Roosters have a 50% win rate over 20 matches and have won their past five matches this decade, potentially mitigating some disadvantage. The match timing and player availability affected by State of Origin selections are critical.
  • The Sharks are motivated to maintain momentum and justify their heavy favoritism. The Roosters are motivated to prove resilience despite missing key players and to capitalize on home ground familiarity and a strong historical record at the venue.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -325, Sydney Roosters: 255, Draw: 2300 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -10.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: +10.5 -120 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to cover -10.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Sharks being strong favorites, the Roosters' historical head-to-head strength against them and home ground advantage provide a solid chance for an upset. However, the Sharks' current form and squad fitness give them the edge to win most likely by a margin slightly less than the spread.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 26 – Sydney Roosters 16


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Penrith Panthers vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Carrington Park, Bathurst

Game Overview

The Penrith Panthers, four-time consecutive NRL premiers, host the Newcastle Knights at Carrington Park in Bathurst. This match is part of the NRL Telstra Premiership and promises to be an engaging contest between two teams with differing recent success.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant in recent seasons, while Newcastle Knights have had mixed results.
  • Historically, Penrith Panthers have had a stronger record against Newcastle Knights.
  • Injury reports are crucial; Penrith typically maintains a strong squad, while Newcastle Knights' performance can be affected by player availability.
  • The game is being played in Bathurst, which is a home-away-from-home venue for Penrith Panthers, potentially providing an advantage.
  • Penrith Panthers' motivation to continue their winning streak could influence the game's outcome.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Penrith Panthers: -205, Newcastle Knights: 170, Draw: 2100 Penrith Panthers win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Penrith Panthers: -5.5 -115, Newcastle Knights: 5.5 -115 Penrith Panthers cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 43.5 -115, Under: 43.5 -115 Over 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Penrith Panthers at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are favored to win due to their recent dominance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 26, Newcastle Knights 17


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